Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/10/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday September 11, 2021
Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPNU


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mountaineers +9, Hurricanes -9; Over/Under:  55 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mountaineers +8.5, Hurricanes -8.5; Over/Under:  54 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mountaineers NL, Hurricanes NL; Over/Under:  54 points

Season Record

Appalachian State Mountaineers:  1-0 (3rd place, Sun Belt Group A)
Miami Hurricanes:  0-1 (6th place, ACC Coastal)
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Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Miami Hurricanes Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Appalachian State Mountaineers:  won 1
Miami Hurricanes:  lost 1

Offensive Analysis

Last season the Appalachian State Mountaineers averaged a 63.3% completion percentage, 187.1 passing yards, and 1.87 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 265.6 rushing yards and 2.3 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Miami Hurricanes were averaging a 62.7% completion percentage, 277.3 passing yards, and 2.4 touchdowns per game through the air. They also averaged 163 rushing yards and 1.6 touchdowns per game on the ground.

Defensive Analysis

Last season the Appalachian State Mountaineers were allowing teams a 47.9% completion percentage, 177.9 passing yards, and 1.1 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 151.5 rushing yards and 1.2 touchdowns per game on the ground. The Miami Hurricanes were allowing teams a 63.3% completion percentage, 233.9 passing yards, and 1.8 touchdowns per game through the air. They also allowed 174.5 rushing yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game on the ground.


Mountaineers vs Hurricanes Prediction

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are coming into this college football game sitting in 3rd place of the Sun Belt Group A with a 1-0 record. They won their season opener against East Carolina 33-19. Chase Brice had a good game for App State in their last game as he completed 20/27 passes for 259 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Their running game was great in that one too. Nate Noel led the team in rushing with 126 yards on 15 carries. Camerun Peoples also had a great game rushing for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries. Thomas Hennigan also had a great game leading his team in receiving yards with 114 and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions. Corey Sutton also caught 1 touchdown pass on 4 receptions for 52 yards. D'Marco Jackson led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 3 assists while Ryan Huff caught the 1 interception for them in this game. Brendan Harrington led the team in sacks with 2 while Nich Hampton and Tim Frizzell both recorded 1 each.

The Miami Hurricanes are coming into this matchup sitting in 6th place of the ACC Coastal with a 0-1 record. They lost their first game of the season to Alabama 44-13. D'Eriq King struggled a bit in their last game completing 23/30 passes for 179 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Their running game did absolutely nothing in that one as Cam'Ron Harris led his team with 37 rushing yards on 12 carries. The receivers were also quiet in this game with Xavier Restrepo leading them with 55 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. No other player had more than 50 yards receiving in that game. Tyrique Stevenson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Chantz Williams recorded the only sack for them in that game. The stats do look real bad for them in that first game but keep in mind they were facing the best team in the country ranked number 1 on the AP poll.

Miami was not able to do much in their last game but they were going up against one of the best offenses and defenses in college football. App State put up some great numbers last week but were playing a very bad East Carolina team. App State was very run heavy in that game and will likely stick to that plan in this game to control the pace against the Hurricanes. Miami is bound for a better game after last week and should play a bit better here especially on defense. This should be a lower scoring game giving some value on the under in this one

Mountaineers Hurricanes Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for September 11, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Hurricanes 24 Mountaineers 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Appalachian State Mountaineers: 3-1 ATS as an underdog. 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Miami Hurricanes: 11-13 ATS in all games. 7-10 ATS as a favorite.

Key Injuries

Appalachian State Mountaineers:  D. Harrington (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Miami Hurricanes:  D. Chaney Jr. (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. M. Harley (WR) Ques Sat - Upper Body injury. A. Williams (S) Out indefinitely - Disciplinary reasons.

Players to Watch

Appalachian State Mountaineers: Camerun Peoples is one player to watch in this game. He had 100 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns in the last game he played in. They will need him to run the ball well and eat up some clock on long drives if they want to eat away at this Miami team and win the game.
Miami Hurricanes: D’Eriq King is one player to watch in these road and home games. His team did not have much going in the run game last week so the pressure will fall on him to lead his offense and move the ball down the field. Watch for him to make the big plays if he wants his team to win this game.

Notable Quotes

“We’ll do what we have to do. We won’t try to put a square peg in a round hole. If need be, we’ll line up five wideouts and throw the ball.” - Shawn Clark on his team adjusting to whatever the defense throws at them in any game.
"College football is famous for its overreactions after Week 1. We don't get our story written one game into the season." - Manny Diaz after a big loss to Alabama in their first game of the season.

Starting Lineups

Appalachian State Mountaineers 
WR Hennigan, Thomas 
WR Sutton, Corey 
WR Williams, Malik 
TE Pearson, Henry 
QB Brice, Chase 
RB Peoples, Camerun 
Miami Hurricanes
WR Smith, Key'Shawn 
WR Rambo, Charleston 
WR Harley, Mike 
TE Mallory, Will 
QB King, D'Eriq 
RB Harris, Cam'Ron 

Statistical Leaders

Appalachian State Mountaineers
Passing: C. Brice (259)
Rushing: N. Noel (126)
Receiving: T. Hennigan (114)
Touchdowns: C. Peoples (2)
Sacks: B. Harrington (1.5)
Tackles: D. Jackson (5)
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: D. King (179)
Rushing: C. Harris (37)
Receiving: X. Restrepo (55)
Touchdowns: X. Restrepo (1)
Sacks: C. Williams (1)
Tackles: T. Stevenson (5)
Appalachian State Mountaineers: Shawn Clark (3rd season)
Miami Hurricanes: Manny Diaz (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

85 degrees F partly cloudy, 71% humidity, 20% chance of rain, up to 11 mph wind speeds E.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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