Anatomy of a 12.75-1 Winner: Handicapping Cameron Young at the PGA Cadillac Championship

by Hollywood Sports

Saturday, May 30, 2026
For its first event this month, from April 30th through May 2nd, the PGA Tour returned to Trump National Doral at the Blue Monster Course in Miami, Florida, after a nine-year hiatus for the PGA Cadillac Championship. This Par 72 event was the second-longest on the PGA Tour at 7739 yards. The Bermudagrass rough rises up to three inches. The pros would contend with 110 bunkers and water that impacts ten holes. The greens consisted of TifEagle Bermuda grass that will measure up to 12 feet on the stimpmeter, with the average putting surface of the greens being 7200 square feet. This was the fifth signature event on the PGA Tour this season, with a heightened purse and no cuts for the 72 professionals competing this week.

Our Best Bet to win the PGA Cadillac Championship was on Cameron Young, who is listed at +1250 odds to win this event at DraftKings. It has been a breakout season for the 28-year-old. After finishing in a tie for third place at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, he won THE PLAYERS Championship last month and then followed that up by finishing in third place at the Masters (leading on Sunday at one point). His most recent PGA event was at the RBC Heritage two weeks ago, where he settled for a tie for 25th place. Young was playing at an elite level and has gained +1.63 shots per round versus the field. In his last five events, which have either been a major championship or a signature event with a stacked field, he has gained more than 45 strokes versus the field. 

Young was a great fit for this course because he is one of the longest drivers on the tour. He ranked sixth on the PGA Tour in 2026 in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and tenth in Shots-Gained: Off the Tee. He also ranked second on the tour in Total Driving and second in Proximity to the Hole. He also has an excellent short game. He ranked 12th on the tour in Scrambling with a success rate of over 67%. He loves playing on Bermuda greens as well, where he ranked third on the tour since the start of 2025 by averaging +1.22 strokes-gained per round versus the field. 

Where Young’s game has most improved is with his irons, as he ranks 18th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green. Young ranked fifth on the tour in Bogey Avoidance, which suggests he should play well on more difficult courses. 

Young cruised to an easy victory that week. He opened Round One by shooting 8-under par. He then shot 5-under par on Friday for Round Two, taking him into the weekend with a 13-under par score. He was steady on Saturday with a 2-under par score. Then, for Round Four on Sunday, he did not open the door for any potential chasing opponent as he shot 4-under par. His 19-under-par winning score was six strokes better than Scottie Scheffler, who finished in second place with a 13-under-par score. It was Young’s third PGA Tour victory in his career — and it was our third PGA Tour first-place winner in 2026.

We also won our prop bet on Young, who was linked with Scottie Scheffler in Round One head-to-head props. Scheffler had just missed in two straight events as he followed up his second place at the Masters with a second place at the RBC Heritage two weeks ago. But he had only won once on the tour in 2026 and was still getting priced as if he was Tiger Woods at his prime. 

It is a credit to his immense talent that he is still eking out good results despite being way out of form with his irons. He led the tour in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green last year — but he had plummeted to 65th on the tour in that metric this year. Furthermore, he had not played this course as a professional — and opening rounds are when he is at his least lethal, as he ranked just 72nd on the tour in Round One Scoring in 2026. He then improves to 14th in Round Two Scoring before leading the PGA Tour this season in Round Three and Round Four Scoring — so getting his bearings on a golf course makes a significant difference for him. 

Scheffler shot only 1-under par on Thursday in his first professional round at the Blue Monster Course, seven strokes behind Scheffler. Predictably for Scheffler, he shot at least 3-under par in each of his next three rounds (but we still won our Round One head-to-head prop). 

Best of luck — Frank.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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