Alabama Crimson Tide vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/04/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 4, 2023

Venue:  Reed Arena, College Station, TX 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2, TAMU +2; Over/Under:  150.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2, TAMU +2; Over/Under:  150.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2, TAMU +2; Over/Under:  150.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  26-4 (16-1) (1st place, SEC)

Texas A&M Aggies:  22-8 (14-3) (2nd place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

Texas A&M Aggies:  4-1  last 5

Alabama is coming into this game with a 26-4 record overall and they are 9-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 16-1 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Georgia Bulldogs, the South Carolina Gamecocks, the Arkansas Razorbacks, and the Auburn Tigers in their last game. Jahvon Quinerly led the team in points in that game with 24 while Brandon Miller, Noah Clowney, and Mark Sears each were next on the team with 17 points. Jahvon Quinerly led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Brandon Miller and Noah Clowney each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.9% from the field, 25.8% from 3-point range, and 77.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.6 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 16-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-14-1.

Texas A&M is coming into this game with a 22-8 record overall and they are 14-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 14-3 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a win against the Ole Miss Rebels in their last game. Tyrece Radford led the team in points in that game with 13 while Wade Taylor IV was next on the team with 12 points. Wade Taylor IV led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Andre Gordon led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 37.9% from the field, 22.7% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.7 PPG against them. Texas A&M has an ATS record of 20-10 this season and their O/U record is 15-15.

The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M has quietly been having a great season with their 22-8 record overall and they are the 2nd best team in the SEC this year with their 14-3 conference record despite not having a lot of hype surrounding this team. They have also been a really good home team this year with a 14-1 home record and they have some momentum off a win in their last game. Alabama has also been having a great season with their 26-4 record overall and they enter this game ranked as one of the best teams in the country too. They have been the best team in the SEC all year with their 16-1 conference record and they have even been good in their road games with a 9-2 road record. Alabama is also undefeated at home though which means all 4 of their losses this year have come either on the road or at a neutral site and they haven't been great in their games lately either. They have won 4 games in a row now but their last few games have been coming down to the wire where they had to make comebacks late and they will not be able to sustain that kind of play and win against a great home team like Texas A&M. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game as they have some real upset win potential here. 

Alabama Texas A&M Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 4, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 81 Alabama 77.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 6-17 ATS after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games. 1-9 ATS after a combined score of 175 points or more. 15-5 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games.

Texas A&M Aggies: 20-10 ATS in all games. 20-8 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 18-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  None.

Texas A&M Aggies:  D. Dennis (G) Ques Sat - Knee. M. Obaseki (G) Early March - Hand. E. Henderson (F) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“Listen, I just couldn’t be more proud of this group. Obviously, it’s a heartbreaking situation. That’s never lost on us, but the kids have worked really hard. Winning the SEC is not an easy thing to do. I mean, look at the teams in this league. It’s a great league." - Nate Oats after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game.

“There weren’t enough quality possessions. If you’re only going to shoot 43 balls because you turn it over 16 times, and you only get eight offensive rebounds, you’re going to play from behind.” - Buzz Williams on his team being at their best with the NCAA Tournament approaching.

C. Bediako 

J. Bradley 

N. Clowney 

B. Miller 

M. Sears

H. Coleman 

D. Dennis 

J. Marble 

T. Radford 

W. Taylor

PPG: B. Miller (19.6)

APG: J. Quinerly (3.7)

Reb/G: N. Clowney (8.2)

PPG: W. Taylor IV (15.9)

APG: W. Taylor IV (4.2)

Reb/G: D. Dennis (5.7)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (4th season)

Texas A&M Aggies: Buzz Williams (4th season)