Alabama Crimson Tide vs South Florida Bulls Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/16/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 16, 2023

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -32, USF +32; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -32, USF +32; Over/Under:  61 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -32.5, USF +32.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  1-1 (0-0) (7th place, SEC West)

South Florida Bulls:  1-1 (0-0) (3rd place, AAC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  lost their last game at home against the Texas Longhorns 34-24.

South Florida Bulls:  won their last game at home against the Florida A&M Rattlers 38-24.

Alabama is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Texas 34-24. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 14/27 passes for 255 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jase McClellan led the team in rushing yards with 45. Kobe Prentice led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jaylen Key led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

South Florida is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida A&M 38-24. Byrum Brown was the starting QB and he completed 20/34 passes for 197 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nay'Quan Wright led the team in rushing yards with 55. Naiem Simmons led the receivers with 59 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Daquan Evans led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Aamaris Brown, Jonathan Ross, Jacquez Williams, and Jason Vaughn each led the defense in sacks with 1. Logan Berryhill came away with 2 interceptions for them while Jaelen Stokes also had 1 in that game.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 32 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama looked terrible in their last game as they lost at home by double digits to Texas and that was pretty much the end of their season right there. They have no choice but to win the rest of their games now and if they even want to be considered for the playoffs for some reason, they will have to blow out a lot of teams and it starts here. They are going to be really upset over that loss and will be looking to take it out on this much lesser USF team. Alabama still destroyed MTSU in their season opener and even though they are playing their 1st road game of the season here, they still have a lot more talent than South Florida does and will be able to blow them out in a similar way. South Florida has improved a lot under their new coach in these first 2 games but they haven't faced a team like Alabama and don't have the talent to stop them on defense or keep up with them on offense. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama South Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 16, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 56 South Florida 10.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 2-7 ATS as a road favorite. 15-23 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 17-8 OVER after playing 2 straight non-conference games. 8-4 OVER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.

South Florida Bulls: 12-6 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 9-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 7-1 OVER as a home underdog. 6-1 OVER against SEC opponents.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  E. Henderson Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Hip.

South Florida Bulls:  G. Bohanon (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I think all these things are fixable. We have good players.” - Nick Saban after his team’s loss against Texas in their last game. 

“How we respond to whatever happens will lay the foundation for what we’ll do here. I fully expect to have every chance to win the game. They will fight. That’s the thing about these kids, they will play their asses off.” - Alex Golesh on his team’s upcoming game against Alabama. 

WR Benson, Malik  

WR Burton, Jermaine

WR Bond, Isaiah 

TE Dippre, CJ 

QB Milroe, Jalen 

RB McClellan, Jase 

WR Simmons, Naiem 

WR Brown, Khafre  

WR Atkins, Sean 

TE Wolff, Weston 

QB Brown, Byrum 

RB Wright, Nay'Quan 

Passing: J. Milroe (449)

Rushing: J. Milroe (92)

Receiving: J. Burton (120)

Touchdowns: J. Milroe (2)

Passing: B. Brown (363)

Rushing: B. Brown (183)

Receiving: K. Brown (109)

Touchdowns: B. Brown (4)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)

South Florida Bulls: Alex Golesh (1st season)