Alabama Crimson Tide vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/15/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, November 15, 2024

Venue:  Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2, Purdue +2; Over/Under:  164.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2, Purdue +2; Over/Under:  164.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -2, Purdue +2; Over/Under:  164.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  3-0 (0-0) (4th place, SEC)

Purdue Boilermakers:  3-0 (0-0) (4th place, Big Ten)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  3-0  last 3

Purdue Boilermakers:  3-0  last 3

Alabama is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall, a 0-0 record in conference games, and they are 0-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the McNeese State Cowboys in their last game. Grant Nelson led the team in points per game in that game with 22 while Mark Sears and Latrell Wrightsell Jr. each were next on the team with 15. Mark Sears led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Grant Nelson led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 44% from the field, 32.4% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.7 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 1-2 this season and their O/U record is 0-2-1.

Purdue is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall, a 0-0 conference record, and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Yale Bulldogs in their last game. Braden Smith led the team in points in that game with 22 while Trey Kaufman-Renn was next on the team with 17. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Braden Smith led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 53.8% from the field, 47.8% from 3-point range, and 78.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 1-2 this season and their O/U record is 2-1.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall which has them right near the top of the SEC, but they are also ranked as one of the best teams in the nation this season. Meanwhile, Purdue has also looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall which has them right near the top of the Big Ten, but they aren't ranked inside the top 10 this season. They are still a ranked team, but they aren't one of the best teams in the nation right now and a lot of that has to do with losing Zack Edey to the NBA. Purdue still has plenty of talent on their team, but Edey really carried the team at times last season and they are going to get their first real test here even though they are at home. Alabama is ranked really high but they do have a lot of returning players and they are going to be looking to improve from the season they had last year, and this is a great game for them to really make a statement in against a ranked Purdue team that isn't what they were last season. Alabama will bring their best effort for this ranked opponent on the road and they have the talent to execute in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, November 15, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 88 Purdue 81.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 38-23 ATS as a favorite. 12-6 ATS when the total is 160 to 169.5. 36-27 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 turnovers/game or less. 8-2 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 12-6 OVER when the total is 160 to 169.5. 25-10 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or less of their shots. 

Purdue Boilermakers: 10-21 ATS off a home win. 4-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 4-7 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts or less. 21-14 OVER in all home games. 13-3 OVER versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less. 8-3 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).

Alabama Crimson Tide:  None.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

"Almost ten assists per game is absurd, but it's not an abnormality. He averaged over seven assists per game last year." - Nate Oats on Braden Smith coming into this game against Purdue.

"They're tough. We were ready to go, we could score the basketball last year. We knew we had to outscore them because they didn't stop us and we didn’t stop them." - Matt Painter on his team’s upcoming game against Alabama. 

C. Omoruyi 

L. Philon 

D. Reid 

M. Sears 

J. Stevenson

G. Harris 

D. Jacobsen 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: M. Sears (18)

APG: L. Philon (4.3)

Reb/G: C. Omoruyi (8)

PPG: F. Loyer (17)

APG: B. Smith (9.3)

Reb/G: B. Smith (6.3)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (6th season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (20th season)