Alabama Crimson Tide vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/19/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 19, 2025

Venue:  Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1.5, Oklahoma +1.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1, Oklahoma +1; Over/Under:  40.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama +1.5, Oklahoma -1.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  10-3 (7-1) (2nd place, SEC)

Oklahoma Sooners:  10-2 (6-2) (6th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Georgia Bulldogs 28-7.

Oklahoma Sooners:  won their last game at home against the LSU Tigers 17-13.

Alabama is entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, and they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 28-7. Ty Simpson was the starting QB and he completed 19/39 passes for 212 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Daniel Hill led the team in rushing yards with 11. Germie Bernard led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Yhonzae Pierre led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Keon Keeley and James Smith each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against LSU 17-13. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 23/38 passes for 318 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tory Blaylock led the team in rushing yards with 42. Isaiah Sategna led the receivers with 121 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Kendal Daniels led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Peyton Bowen came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked great in their games this season with their 10-3 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 4-1 road record this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They have looked great on their home field too with their 6-1 home record this year. This game is for the first round of the CFP and Oklahoma has the home advantage as the higher seed. Oklahoma had last weekend off while Alabama was playing in the SEC Championship, but that could help Alabama in this game. Alabama looked terrible in the SEC Championship, losing to Georgia 28-7, but that loss is going to serve as a wake up call for them. They will be looking to bounce back and show that they aren't the team that got embarrassed by Georgia last week, and Alabama did lose to Oklahoma a few weeks ago so they have revenge motivating them too. Alabama's offense hasn't looked great at times, but Oklahoma's offense hasn't looked any better this year. Oklahoma does have one of the best defenses in the SEC this year, but their offense has been a big issue and they even struggled in their season finale, beating LSU at home 17-13. Look for Alabama to get their revenge here as their offense bounces back in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 19, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 24 Oklahoma 21.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 23-16 ATS in all lined games. 4-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 11-5 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 4-1 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive unders. 10-4 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).

Oklahoma Sooners: 2-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 0-3 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 1-6 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 4-1 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 

Alabama Crimson Tide:  D. Kirkpatrick Jr. (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Waldrep Jr. (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Howard (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Riley (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Miller (RB) Questionable - Leg. J. Latham (LB) Questionable - Neck. J. Cuevas (TE) Questionable - Foot. K. Collins (DL) Questionable - Illness. L. Overton (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Beaman (DL) Out - Lower Body.

Oklahoma Sooners:  K. Dolby (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Ozaeta (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Barnes (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Taylor (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sexton (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Williams (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Maikkula (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Everett (OG) Out - Undisclosed.

“We fell short today, but I’m proud of our season. Getting to the SEC championship, getting to this great game, there’s a lot to build off of.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s loss against UGA in the SEC Championship.

“The narrative wasn’t always on their side, and they had to kind of fight through that as well. But to be able to share in this moment with them. I just have so much appreciation, respect for our players and staff.” - Brent Venables after his team’s win against LSU in their last game. 

WR Horton, Isaiah

WR Bernard, Germie

WR Williams, Ryan

TE Edwards, Kaleb

TE Cuevas, Josh

QB Simpson, Ty

RB Hill, Daniel

WR Lewis, Keontez

WR Burks, Deion

WR Sategna III, Isaiah

TE Kanak, Jaren

QB Mateer, John

RB Blaylock, Tory

Passing: Ty Simpson (3,268)

Rushing: Jam Miller (493)

Receiving: Germie Bernard (762)

Touchdowns: Germie Bernard (9)

Passing: John Mateer (2,578)

Rushing: Tory Blaylock (444)

Receiving: Isaiah Sategna III (948)

Touchdowns: John Mateer (7)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Kalen DeBoer (2nd season)

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (4th season)