Alabama Crimson Tide vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/28/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 26, 2024
Game Time: 9:39 pm ET, Thursday, March 28, 2024
Venue:  Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama +4, UNC -4; Over/Under:  173.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama +4, UNC -4; Over/Under:  173.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama +4.5, UNC -4.5; Over/Under:  173.5 points

Season Record

Alabama Crimson Tide:  23-11 (13-5) (2nd place, SEC)
North Carolina Tar Heels:  29-7 (17-3) (1st place, ACC)

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Recent Form
Alabama Crimson Tide:  3-2  last 5
North Carolina Tar Heels:  4-1  last 5


Alabama Crimson Tide vs North Carolina Tar Heels Preview and Analysis


Alabama is entering this game with a 23-11 record overall, a 13-5 record in conference games, and they are 4-4 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Grand Canyon Antelopes in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points per game in that game with 26 while Rylan Griffen was next on the team with 13. Mark Sears and Aaron Estrada each led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Mark Sears led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 36.9% from the field, 25.8% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 80.9 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 19-15 this season and their O/U record is 25-9.


North Carolina is entering this game with a 29-7 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 7-4 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Michigan State Spartans in their last game. RJ Davis led the team in points in that game with 20 while Armando Bacot was next on the team with 18. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Armando Bacot and Harrison Ingram each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 46.7% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70 PPG against them. North Carolina has an ATS record of 21-15 this season and their O/U record is 18-17-1.



Alabama vs North Carolina Prediction

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. North Carolina has looked really good in their games this season with their 29-7 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and was enough to get them the number 1 seed in the tournament. They have looked great in the ACC this year with their 17-3 conference record which leads the way and they also made a run to the finals of their conference tournament before losing in that one. They have looked a lot better in their games since that loss though and they are coming off a nice win against a tougher round 2 opponent, Michigan State. Meanwhile, Alabama has also looked good in their games this season with their 23-11 record overall and their 13-5 conference record which has them near the top of the SEC. They haven't looked as good in their neutral site games though, going 4-4 in those, and 2 of those wins were in this tournament. Alabama hasn't really been tested yet either, beating Charleston and Grand Canyon in their 2 games so far. North Carolina is going to have a ton of momentum after beating a Big Ten team in their last one and they are motivated to go deep in this tournament with the number 1 seed after completely missing out on the tournament last season. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game.

Alabama North Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 28, 2024 (9:39 pm ET start time) is North Carolina 84 Alabama 74.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Alabama Crimson Tide North Carolina Tar Heels prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Alabama Crimson Tide: 2-6 ATS as an underdog. 1-5 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite. 25-9 OVER in all games. 14-4 OVER as an underdog. 16-7 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

North Carolina Tar Heels: 8-0 ATS in NCAA tournament games. 13-7 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 14-5 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 9-2 OVER in all neutral court games. 7-1 OVER in all tournament games. 10-2 OVER in non-conference games.

Key Injuries


Alabama Crimson Tide:  L. Wrightsell Jr. (G) Prob Thurs - Head. D. Cosby Jr. (G) Out indefinitely - Foot.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  None.

Notable Quotes


“We had multiple guys in there putting their nose in and making tough plays. Sears wasn’t going to lose. He wasn’t letting us lose tonight.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against GCU in their last game in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday.


“We came into the huddle and said, ‘Look, we can’t talk about any basketball stuff until we join the fight.' Once that started, the level of play in terms of the energy and effort, the attention to detail rose. Then that’s when things started to change.” - Hubert Davis after his team’s win against MSU in their last game in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Alabama Crimson Tide
A. Estrada 
R. Griffen 
G. Nelson 
N. Pringle 
M. Sears

North Carolina Tar Heels
A. Bacot 
E. Cadeau 
R. Davis 
H. Ingram 
C. Ryan

Statistical Leaders


Alabama Crimson Tide
PPG: M. Sears (21.1)
APG: A. Estrada (4.5)
Reb/G: G. Nelson (5.7)

North Carolina Tar Heels
PPG: R. Davis (21.1)
APG: E. Cadeau (4)
Reb/G: A. Bacot (10.1)

Coaches:
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (5th season)
North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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