Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/11/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Nov 07, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023
Venue:  Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -10.5, Kentucky +10.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -10.5, Kentucky +10.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -10.5, Kentucky +10.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Season Record

Alabama Crimson Tide:  8-1 (6-0) (1st place, SEC West)
Kentucky Wildcats:  6-3 (3-3) (4th place, SEC East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in NCAAF as he is 92-52 his last 144 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game at home against the LSU Tigers 42-28.
Kentucky Wildcats:  won their last game on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 24-3.


Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats Preview and Analysis


Alabama is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against LSU 42-28. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 219 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jalen Milroe led the team in rushing yards with 155 and 4 TDs. Isaiah Bond led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Caleb Downs led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Justin Eboigbe led the defense in sacks with 1. Terrion Arnold came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Kentucky is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 24-3. Devin Leary was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 156 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing yards with 80. Tayvion Robinson led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Maxwell Hairston led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Trevin Wallace, Zion Childress, Alex Afari Jr., and J.J. Weaver each led the defense in sacks with 1. D'Eryk Jackson came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama is 8-1 this season and they have had a few close calls along with their loss at home to Texas but lately they have been playing a lot better in their games. They just had a big win over LSU in their last game too and are still an undefeated 6-0 in conference games this year. Kentucky is 6-3 this season but they haven't looked as good as Alabama has in their games lately, especially since Kentucky is 3-3 in conference play with all 3 of their losses this season coming against SEC opponents. They looked good early on but as their schedule got tougher deeper in the season they have begun to fold up in their games, losing against the better teams in their conference by double digits. This game will be no different as Alabama is only getting better as the season goes on, trying to find their way back in the SEC Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 31 Kentucky 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Alabama Crimson Tide Kentucky Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Alabama Crimson Tide: 9-20 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 4-8 ATS in road games. 3-6 ATS in November games. 9-4 UNDER as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. 12-3 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive overs. 42-21 UNDER off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.

Kentucky Wildcats: 11-6 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 21-13 ATS in all games. 12-7 ATS off a double digit road win. 9-4 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 12-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 13-5 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 

Key Injuries


Alabama Crimson Tide:  J. Brooks (WR) Ques Sat - Shoulder. J. Key (DB) Ques Sat - Thigh. D. Lawson (LB) Ques Sat - Foot.

Kentucky Wildcats:  J. McClain (RB) Ques Sat - Shoulder. D. Leary (QB) Ques Sat - Eye. B. Christman (OL) out for season - Knee. J. Wilcox (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Wright (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Hall (OL) out for season - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“Probably as close to a complete game as we’ve played all year and we needed to play a game like that.” - Nick Saban after his team’s win against LSU in their last game.


“He (Leary) was having a hard time reading off the wristband at that moment. He can read it now.” - Mark Stoops on the injury to QB Devin Leary after his team’s win against MS State in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Benson, Malik  
WR Burton, Jermaine
WR Bond, Isaiah 
TE Dippre, CJ 
QB Milroe, Jalen 
RB McClellan, Jase 

Kentucky Wildcats
WR Key, Dane 
WR Brown, Barion 
WR Robinson, Tayvion 
TE Dingle, Jordan 
TE Bates, Brenden 
QB Leary, Devin 
RB Davis, Ray

Statistical Leaders


Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (1836)
Rushing: J. MccLellan (632)
Receiving: J. Burton (537)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (9)

Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: D. Leary (1905)
Rushing: R. Davis (903)
Receiving: T. Robinson (462)
Touchdowns: R. Davis (14) 

Coaches:
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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