Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/24/2024

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 24, 2024

Venue:  Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama +1.5, Kentucky -1.5; Over/Under:  178.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama +1.5, Kentucky -1.5; Over/Under:  178.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama +1.5, Kentucky -1.5; Over/Under:  178.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  19-7 (11-2) (1st place, SEC)

Kentucky Wildcats:  18-8 (8-5) (5th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

Kentucky Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Alabama is entering this game with a 19-7 record overall, an 11-2 record in conference games, and they are 4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Florida Gators in their last game. Grant Nelson led the team in points per game in that game with 22 while Aaron Estrada was next on the team with 20. Mark Sears and Aaron Estrada each led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Grant Nelson, Aaron Estrada, and Nick Pringle each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 44% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 91 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.4 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 16-10 this season and their O/U record is 19-7.

Kentucky is entering this game with an 18-8 record overall, an 8-5 conference record, and they are 11-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the LSU Tigers in their last game. Antonio Reeves led the team in points in that game with 25 while Rob Dillingham was next on the team with 23. Adou Thiero, Dajuan Wagner, and Reed Sheppard each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Adou Thiero led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.5% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.3 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 15-11 this season and their O/U record is 18-8.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 19-7 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked great in the SEC this year with their 11-2 conference record which is leading the conference and they have also been a good road team with their 4-3 road record. Meanwhile, Kentucky has also looked good in their games this season with their 18-8 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country too. They haven't been as good in the conference with their 8-5 conference record but they are still in the top half of the SEC with that record. They have also looked really good on their home court with their 11-4 home record, but they still have 4 losses there and haven't been as strong of a home team as some of the other powers in the SEC this season. Alabama has shown that they have no problem playing in road games and Kentucky has been a really up and down team lately, winning games they aren't supposed to but then losing games they are supposed to win. Alabama is looking to win the SEC this season and they have the talent to keep this a close game on the road considering how Kentucky hasn't been at their best on their home court lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 24, 2024 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 82 Kentucky 78.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 44-75 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 3-11 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 11-21 ATS after a combined score of 165 points or more. 19-7 OVER in all games. 8-2 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 12-6 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Kentucky Wildcats: 29-19 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less. 10-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 18-8 OVER in all games. 9-1 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 23-14 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  Latrell Wrightsell (G) Head - Game Time Decision. Mohamed Wague (F) Suspension - Out. Kris Parker (G) Redshirt - Out For Season.

Kentucky Wildcats:  Tre Mitchell (C) Shoulder - Game Time Decision.

“We're figuring out ways to win games. If you're going to win league championships, which we're obviously in the hunt for with five games left, these are the games that you've got to figure out ways to win when you don't play well.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against Florida in their last game on Wednesday.

“Adou blocks it; I got to watch the tape and say, ‘Who did not grab that ball — the winning ball — who didn’t grab it and why? Why not dive on the floor? Just tie it up and we win the game.” - John Calipari after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game on Wednesday.

A. Estrada 

R. Griffen 

G. Nelson 

N. Pringle 

M. Sears

A. Bradshaw 

J. Edwards 

T. Mitchell 

A. Reeves 

D. Wagner

PPG: M. Sears (20.4)

APG: A. Estrada (4.3)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (5.6)

PPG: A. Reeves (19.7)

APG: R. Sheppard (4)

Reb/G: T. Mitchell (7.5)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (5th season)

Kentucky Wildcats: John Calipari (15th season)