Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/05/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Venue:  Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1, Florida +1; Over/Under:  177.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1, Florida +1; Over/Under:  177.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1, Florida +1; Over/Under:  177.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  20-9 (12-4) (3rd place, SEC)

Florida Gators:  20-9 (10-6) (6th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  3-2  last 5

Florida Gators:  3-2  last 5

Alabama is entering this game with a 20-9 record overall, a 12-4 record in conference games, and they are 5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points per game in that game with 22 while Aaron Estrada was next on the team with 16. Mark Sears led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Nick Pringle led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 38.3% from the field, 24.3% from 3-point range, and 76% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 79.3 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 17-12 this season and their O/U record is 21-8.

Florida is entering this game with a 20-9 record overall, a 10-6 conference record, and they are 13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in points in that game with 20 while Zyon Pullin was next on the team with 18. Zyon Pullin led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Thomas Haugh led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 48.2% from the field, 43.5% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.2 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 13-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-11-1.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked really good in their games this season with their 20-9 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked good in the SEC this year with their 10-6 conference record which has them in the top half of the conference, but they have looked a lot better in those games on their home court with their 13-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Alabama has also looked really good in their games this season with their 20-9 record overall which also has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the SEC this year with their 12-4 conference record which has them right near the top and they were even leading the SEC for a majority of the season. They did lose some momentum in their last game though as they took a home loss against Tennessee who now leads the SEC and Alabama also hasn't looked as good in their road games this year with their 5-4 road record. Florida is also coming off a loss in their last game but played in a much closer game on the road against South Carolina who is also right near the top of the SEC and they will be looking to bounce back on their home court as Alabama hasn't been at their best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 5, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 86 Alabama 81.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 15-6 ATS as a favorite. 32-16 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 26-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders. 21-8 OVER in all games. 7-2 OVER in road games. 11-5 OVER against conference opponents.

Florida Gators: 9-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 7-13 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 5-10 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 12-5 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 11-6 OVER after a combined score of 155 points or more. 10-5 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  L. Wrightsell Jr. (G) Ques Tues - Head.

Florida Gators:  A. Szymczyk (F) Mid March - Foot.

“It’s out of our hands now. We’ve still got a shot at it but we’re going to have to get some help to earn a share of it at this point. It’s a little disappointing. They’re a tough, veteran team. They had a lot of guys step up and make big shots.” - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game on Saturday.

“We weren't that aggressive in attacking it and we turned it over a lot.” - Todd Golden after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game on Saturday.

A. Estrada 

R. Griffen 

G. Nelson 

N. Pringle 

M. Sears

W. Clayton 

M. Handlogten 

Z. Pullin 

W. Richard 

T. Samuel

PPG: M. Sears (20.7)

APG: A. Estrada (4.5)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (5.5)

PPG: W. Clayton Jr (16.9)

APG: Z. Pullin (5)

Reb/G: T. Samuel (7.8)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (5th season)

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (2nd season)