Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/25/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 25, 2023
Venue:  Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -14.5, Auburn +14.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -14.5, Auburn +14.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -14.5, Auburn +14.5; Over/Under:  49 points

Season Record

Alabama Crimson Tide:  10-1 (7-0) (1st place, SEC West)
Auburn Tigers:  6-5 (3-4) (5th place, SEC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NCAAF as he is 97-64 his last 161 CFB plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game at home against the Chattanooga Mocs 66-10.
Auburn Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the New Mexico State Aggies 31-10.


Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Preview and Analysis


Alabama is entering this game with a 10-1 record overall and they have a 7-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Chattanooga 66-10. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 13/16 passes for 197 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ty Simpson led the team in rushing yards with 78 and 1 TD. Jermaine Burton led the receivers with 105 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jihaad Campbell led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Kristian Story came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Auburn is entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 3-4 record in their conference games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against New Mexico State 31-10. Payton Thorne was the starting QB and he completed 15/19 passes for 148 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Payton Thorne led the team in rushing yards with 38. Ja'Varrius Johnson led the receivers with 46 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Keionte Scott led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Elijah McAllister led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Alabama vs Auburn Prediction

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 14.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn hasn't looked great in a lot of their games this season with their 6-5 record overall and they have struggled a lot against SEC opponents with their 3-4 conference record in Hugh Freeze's 1st season as head coach. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked really good this season with their 10-1 record overall and they have looked even better in their games lately as they are 7-0 in conference games this year. Alabama has looked really good lately as they seem to be getting hot now toward the end of the season but they also have no reason to really try in this game. They have already booked their spot in the SEC Championship against Georgia and their only focus right now is going to be winning that game. Auburn has looked terrible lately and just lost at home to New Mexico State last week, but they were also already bowl eligible going into that game and were looking ahead to this one with a chance to ruin any chance Alabama might have of going to the CFB this year. Auburn has all the motivation in this game and Hugh Freeze will be looking to make an impression in this game against one of the best teams in the conference. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 25, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 27 Auburn 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Alabama Crimson Tide: 9-2 ATS as a road favorite of 14.5 to 17 points. 21-9 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 31-20 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. 18-10 UNDER after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. 25-18 UNDER after playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored.

Auburn Tigers: 13-22 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. 2-9 ATS after playing a non-conference game. 27-18 UNDER as a home underdog. 35-22 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 12-7 UNDER off an upset loss as a home favorite.

Key Injuries


Alabama Crimson Tide:  J. Brooks (WR) Ques Sat - Shoulder. J. Key (DB) Ques Sat - Thigh. D. Lawson (LB) Ques Sat - Foot.

Auburn Tigers:  P. Thorne (QB) Ques Sat - Foot. M. Nasili-Kite (DL) out for season - Bicep.

Notable Quotes


“The biggest thing is you can't take your foot off the gas. You've got to keep going. The feedback on the sidelines was really good. Offense, defense, special teams. Everyone was clicking. Everyone was communicating, and that allowed us to keep stacking good plays.” - Jalen Milroe after their win against Chattanooga in their last game. 


“We're in a rebuild. That's not an excuse to what happened Saturday.” - Hugh Freeze after his team’s loss against NMSU in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Benson, Malik  
WR Burton, Jermaine
WR Bond, Isaiah 
TE Dippre, CJ 
QB Milroe, Jalen 
RB McClellan, Jase 

Auburn Tigers
WR Hooks, Shane 
WR Shorter, Jyaire 
WR Fair, Jay  
TE Fairweather, Rivaldo 
QB Thorne, Payton 
RB Hunter, Jarquez

Statistical Leaders


Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (2267)
Rushing: J. MccLellan (737)
Receiving: J. Burton (642)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (12)

Auburn Tigers
Passing: P. Thorne (1580)
Rushing: J. Hunter (772)
Receiving: R. Fairweather (349)
Touchdowns: R. Fairweather (6)

Coaches:
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)
Auburn Tigers: Hugh Freeze (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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