Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/08/2025

Game Time: 2:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 8, 2025

Venue:  Neville Arena, Auburn, AL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama +7.5, Auburn -7.5; Over/Under:  177.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama +7.5, Auburn -7.5; Over/Under:  177.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama +7.5, Auburn -7.5; Over/Under:  177.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  23-7 (12-5) (3rd place, SEC)

Auburn Tigers:  27-3 (15-2) (1st place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  2-3  last 5

Auburn Tigers:  4-1  last 5

Alabama is entering this game with a 23-7 record overall, a 12-5 record in conference games, and they are 8-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Florida Gators in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points in that game with 30 while Labaron Philon was next on the team with 19. Mark Sears led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Clifford Omoruyi led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.2% from the field, 36% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 91.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 80.7 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 17-13 this season and their O/U record is 16-13-1.

Auburn is entering this game with a 27-3 record overall, a 15-2 conference record, and they are 13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game. Tahaad Pettiford led the team in points in that game with 19 while Chad Baker-Mazara was next on the team with 15. Chad Baker-Mazara led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Johni Broome led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 50% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.2 PPG against them. Auburn has an ATS record of 17-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-11.

The current betting odds have Auburn listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Auburn has looked great in their games this season with their 27-3 record overall and their 15-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They are ranked like the best team in the nation and they have looked great on their home court this year with their 13-1 home record. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 23-7 record overall and their 12-5 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 8-3 road record, but lately they haven't been at their best. Alabama is only 2-3 in their last 5 games and the wheels have been starting to fall off right near the end of the season with this tough stretch of schedule they have been through. They have been through a gauntlet of ranked opponents lately, but now they have lost 2 games in a row and are coming off a home loss to Florida in their last one. Auburn is also coming off a loss in their last one, losing on the road to Texas A&M, but they are still 4-1 in their last 5 games and they are going to be looking to bounce back at home against their rival in their last game of the regular season. This is Auburn's chance to bounce back right before going into tournament play and they already beat Alabama on the road by 9 points a few weeks ago. Alabama has been a really good team this season, but lately they haven't looked good in their games and this is a really bad game to be getting the best team in the nation off a loss. The best way to place a bet here is on Auburn to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Auburn Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 8, 2025 (2:30 pm ET start time) is Auburn 90 Alabama 78.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 8-4 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 6-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 35-24 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 9-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 21-11 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 28-17 OVER after playing a home game.

Auburn Tigers: 4-7 ATS at home versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 1-4 ATS at home versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. 9-5 OVER off a road loss. 8-3 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 29-18 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  D. Reid (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Mallette (G) Questionable - Knee. L. Wrightsell (G) Out - Achilles. N. Cunningham (F) Out - Redshirt.

Auburn Tigers:  J. Broome (F) Questionable - Shoulder. D. Jones (G) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“I’m not panicked that we’re losing, it’s more concerning how we lost. Getting out-rebounded by 15, not getting the 50/50 balls. Florida had more pop, more energy, that’s more concerning to me.” - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game. 

"When they go by us, if help is drawn -- which clearly Texas A&M drew help -- then your backside rebounding is exposed, and that’s where all of those tip dunks take place. We held Texas A&M to about 33% shooting on their first shots, and they had about 76% on their second shots because they were all tip dunks.” - Bruce Pearl after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

G. Nelson 

C. Omoruyi 

L. Philon 

M. Sears 

J. Stevenson

C. Baker-Mazara 

J. Broome 

D. Cardwell 

D. Jones 

M. Kelly

PPG: M. Sears (19.5)

APG: M. Sears (5)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (7.9)

PPG: J. Broome (18)

APG: J. Broome (3.3)

Reb/G: J. Broome (10.7)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (6th season)

Auburn Tigers: Bruce Pearl (11th season)