by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Friday, Nov 26, 2021
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 27, 2021
Venue: Glass Bowl Stadium, Toledo, OH
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Akron +28.5, Toledo -28.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Akron +28.5, Toledo -28.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Akron +28.5, Toledo -28.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Akron Zips: 2-9 (5th place, MAC East)
Toledo Rockets: 6-5 (4th place, MAC West)
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Akron Zips vs Toledo Rockets Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Akron Zips: lost at home on Nov. 20 against the Kent State Golden Flashes 38-0.
Toledo Rockets: won on the road on Nov. 16 against the Ohio Bobcats 35-23.
Akron Zips Analysis
Akron is coming into this game with a 2-9 record overall and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-6 in their conference games this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Zach Gibson did not have a good game in that one as he completed 14/21 passes for 111 yards. Jonzell Norrils led the team in rushing with 50 yards on 16 carries. Konata Mumpfield led the receivers with 39 yards on 4 receptions in what was a quiet day for the receiving corps. Andrew Behm led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or an interception for them in that one. They have scored 224 points in their 11 games this season averaging 20.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 425 points against them allowing 38.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 338.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 458.7 YPG.
Toledo Rockets Analysis
Toledo is coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 2-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 4-3 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after a win in their last game. DeQuan Finn was alright in that game but did not need to do much for his team to get the win as he completed 10/14 passes for 150 yards and 1 touchdown. Bryant Koback had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 203 yards and 4 touchdowns on 21 carries. Matt Landers led the receivers with 85 yards and 1 touchdown on 1 reception while Devin Maddox led the team in receptions with 3 for 17 yards in what was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. Tycen Anderson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. D'Andre Ragin led the defense in sacks in that game with 1.5 while no one on the defense came up with any interceptions for them in that one. They have scored 361 points in their 11 games this season averaging 32.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 238 points against them allowing 21.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 422.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 340.5 YPG.
Akron vs Toledo Prediction
Akron is coming into this game as a 28.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They did not play well in their last game but prior to that game they had been playing well against their conference opponents keeping a few of their games within reach recently. Toledo has been playing well but they have not been blowing teams out by that many points in their recent games or even all season really. This is the last game of the season for Akron and they should try to finish their season off strong here. The best bet to place in this game is on Akron to cover the spread here.
Akron Toledo Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 27, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Toledo 34 Akron 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Akron Zips: 120-151 ATS in all games. 20-27 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 79-100 ATS as an underdog. 51-56 ATS as a road underdog. 65-77 ATS in road games. 78-108 ATS against conference opponents.
Toledo Rockets: 17-9 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 143-131 ATS in all games. 97-73 ATS as a favorite. 60-43 ATS as a home favorite. 73-56 ATS in home games. 102-85 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Akron Zips: K. Nelson (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. G. Qualls Jr. (WR) Ques Nov. 27 - Undisclosed injury. T. Dollard (RB) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Toledo Rockets: J. Newton (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Mitchell (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"There's going to be a day where maybe I'm supposed to be on a private plane. If you're in this business for all the wrong reasons, you won't last. You'll think it's work. But recruiting isn't work for most coaches at smaller schools. If you do your job, and work [the) job that you have, there's a good possibility you'll probably be a guy on a plane one day." - Oscar Rodriguez Jr. on becoming a head coach one day.
“Tremendous player. He had some big explosive runs tonight, and some tough yardage he gained when some safeties were unblocked, meeting him at the line of scrimmage. He ran through some arm tackles. Proud of his effort and proud of how we ran the football tonight.” - Jason Candle on the performance of Bryant Koback in their win against Ohio in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Akron Zips
WR Mathison, Michael
WR Williams, Andre
WR Mumpfield, Konata
TE Brank, Tristian
QB Gibson, Zach
RB Norrils, Jonzell
Toledo Rockets
WR Newton, Jerjuan
WR Isaiah Winstead
WR Devin Maddox
TE Turner, Jamal
QB Finn, Dequan
RB Koback, Bryant
Statistical Leaders
Akron Zips
Passing: Z. Gibson (1262)
Rushing: J. Norrils (483)
Receiving: K. Mumpfield (723)
Touchdowns: K. Mumpfield (8)
Toledo Rockets
Passing: D. Finn (1605)
Rushing: B. Koback (1146)
Receiving: D. Maddox (519)
Touchdowns: B. Koback (15)
Coaches:
Akron Zips: Oscar Rodriguez Jr. (Interim)
Toledo Rockets: Jason Candle (7th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
