Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Feb 29, 2024
Game Time: 11:00 pm ET, Friday, March 1, 2024
Venue:  Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, UT
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  AFA +16.5, USU -16.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  AFA +16.5, USU -16.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  AFA +16.5, USU -16.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points

Season Record

Air Force Falcons:  9-18 (2-13) (10th place, MWC)
Utah State Aggies:  23-5 (11-4) (1st place, MWC)

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Recent Form
Air Force Falcons:  1-4  last 5
Utah State Aggies:  4-1  last 5


Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Preview and Analysis


Air Force is entering this game with a 9-18 record overall, a 2-13 record in conference games, and they are 5-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Boise State Broncos in their last game. Rytis Petraitis led the team in points per game in that game with 19 while Ethan Taylor was next on the team with 8. Ethan Taylor led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Rytis Petraitis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.6% from the field, 27.8% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 66.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.6 PPG against them. Air Force has an ATS record of 8-19 this season and their O/U record is 19-8.


Utah State is entering this game with a 23-5 record overall, an 11-4 conference record, and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Fresno State Bulldogs in their last game. Great Osobor led the team in points in that game with 21 while Darius Brown II, Josh Uduje, and Mason Falslev each were next on the team with 15. Darius Brown II led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Darius Brown II and Great Osobor each led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 52% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 65.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Utah State has an ATS record of 13-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 15-11.



Air Force vs Utah State Prediction

The current betting odds have Utah State listed as a 16.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Utah State has looked really good in their games this season with their 23-5 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the Mountain West Conference with their 11-4 conference record which leads the way. They have also looked really good on their home court all year with their 12-1 home record. Meanwhile, Air Force has looked terrible in their games this season with their 9-18 record overall and their 2-13 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the conference with one of the worst records. They haven't been good in their road games either with their 5-6 road record. Air Force has been one of the worst teams in the conference all season but they have also looked bad in their games lately with only 1 win in their last 5 games. Utah State has been the much hotter team lately with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games and they have also been a lot more consistent this season. Utah State is leading the conference right now and will be looking to finish the season strong with the best conference record, they won't stumble here on their home court against one of the worst in the MWC. The best way to place a bet here is on Utah State to cover the spread in this game. 

Air Force Utah State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 1, 2024 (11:00 pm ET start time) is Utah State 86 Air Force 64.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Air Force Falcons Utah State Aggies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Air Force Falcons: 8-19 ATS in all games. 5-10 ATS as an underdog. 4-11 ATS against conference opponents. 19-8 OVER in all games. 16-8 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 12-3 OVER against conference opponents.

Utah State Aggies: 13-7 ATS as a favorite. 8-3 ATS in all home games. 29-18 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. 18-10 OVER as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points. 39-18 OVER in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 6-1 OVER after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less.

Key Injuries


Air Force Falcons:  J. Mills (G) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. Green (F) out for season - Academics.

Utah State Aggies:  None.

Notable Quotes


“Our margin for error is so thin, that everybody that goes out there has to play well. We didn’t have that (energy) from certain guys tonight.” - Joe Scott after his team’s loss against Boise State in their last game on Tuesday.


“Teams find ways to lose games, and some teams find ways to win games. We’ve been dead in the water a bunch of times this year. They keep believing and keep fighting.” - Danny Sprinkle after his team’s win against Fresno State in their last game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Air Force Falcons
C. Beasley 
B. Becker 
K. Boylan 
J. Mills 
E. Taylor

Utah State Aggies
D. Brown 
M. Falslev 
I. Johnson 
I. Martinez 
G. Osobor

Statistical Leaders


Air Force Falcons
PPG: R. Petraitis (15.2)
APG: R. Petraitis (3.7)
Reb/G: R. Petraitis (6)

Utah State Aggies
PPG: G. Osobor (17.9)
APG: D. Brown II (6.3)
Reb/G: G. Osobor (9.2)

Coaches:
Air Force Falcons: Joe Scott (4th season)
Utah State Aggies: Danny Sprinkle (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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