Air Force Falcons vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/22/2023

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, September 22, 2023

Venue:  CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  AFA -3.5, SJSU +3.5; Over/Under:  47 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  AFA -3.5, SJSU +3.5; Over/Under:  47 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  AFA -3.5, SJSU +3.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Air Force Falcons:  3-0 (1-0) (1st place, MWC)

San Jose State Spartans:  1-3 (0-0) (9th place, MWC)

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Air Force Falcons:  won their last game at home against the Utah State Aggies 39-21.

San Jose State Spartans:  lost their last game on the road against the Toledo Rockets 21-17.

Air Force Academy is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Utah State 39-21. Zachary Larrier was the starting QB and he completed 3/4 passes for 84 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Owen Burk led the team in rushing yards with 110. Jared Roznos led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 1 reception. Alec Mock led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Alec Mock led the defense in sacks with 2. Johnathan Youngblood came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

San Jose State is entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Toledo 21-17. Chevan Cordeiro was the starting QB and he completed 24/41 passes for 228 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kairee Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 50 and 1 TD. Nick Nash led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Bryun Parham led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Soane Toia and Tre Smith each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Tre Jenkins came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Air Force listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. AFA is entering this game with it being their 1st road game in conference play but they have already opened up their conference schedule with a big win over Utah State in their last game. Their offense ran all over Utah State in that game and their defense is definitely one of the best in the Mountain West. San Jose State is at home in their conference game of the season but they are already 1-3 and haven't looked great in their games so far. They don't have a bad team as they did have some tough matchups to start the season with their non-conference games, but they don't have the physicality to keep up with Air Force in this game. Air Force made a statement in the Mountain West with their last game and they will be looking to make another one on the road in this game as they show the conference they are a real threat to win the title. The best way to place a bet here is on Air Force to cover the spread in this game.

Air Force San Jose State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 22, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is AFA 23 SJSU 13.

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Air Force Falcons: 7-2 ATS in road games. 47-27 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 11-6 ATS against conference opponents. 36-23 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 10-4 UNDER after playing a game at home.

San Jose State Spartans: 4-8 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 2-7 ATS off a road loss. 9-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 23-14 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

Air Force Falcons:  None.

San Jose State Spartans:  J. Canaan (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Galloway (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Lockhart (WR) Out indefinitely - Arm.

“I try to bring the speed, but I’m just ready to do whatever they want me to do. Whatever they call on me to do that play, if I’ve got to block, kick, run down there on kickoff; I don’t really care. Whatever I’m called on to do, I’ll go do it.” - Zac Larrier after their win against USU in their last game. 

“We just didn’t make enough plays down the stretch to get it done and that’s just devastating.” - Brent Brennan after his team’s loss against Toledo in their last game. 

WR Roznos, Jared 

WR Kinamon, Dane 

TE Rillos, Caleb 

QB Larrier, Zac 

RB Eldridge III, John Lee 

FB Burk, Owen 

WR Nash, Nick 

WR Lockhart, Justin 

WR Ross, Charles 

TE Mazotti, Dominick 

QB Cordeiro, Chevan 

RB Robinson, Kairee

Passing: Z. Larrier (193)

Rushing: O. Burk (222)

Receiving: J. Roznos (144)

Touchdowns: Z. Larrier (3)

Passing: C. Cordeiro (774)

Rushing: Q. Conley (213)

Receiving: N. Nash (197)

Touchdowns: K. Robinson (4)

Coaches:

Air Force Falcons: Troy Calhoun (17th season)

San Jose State Spartans: Brent Brennan (7th season)