Game Time: 9:00 PM  ET, Sunday, November, 19th, 2021

Venue:  Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada

Where to Watch:  FS1

 

DraftKings:  Spread: Nevada -2; Over/Under: 52.5 points

Circa:  Spread: Nevada -2; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Caesars:  Spread: Nevada -2;  Over/Under:  52.5 points 

 

  

Air Force: 4-2 conf, 7-3 overall (MWC)

Nevada: 4-2 conf, 7-3 overall (MWC)

The consensus in college football picks is in.  In this Friday night contest Air Force is  2-point underdogs to Nevada.  A small point spread for sure and most likely leaning Nevada’s way because they are the home team.  Before I slip into a major depression, I’m reminded that America is stronger than that… our Air Force Academy is built to teach our finest to travel to foreign lands and come out victorious!  A simple matchup of identical records in the Mountain West Conference requires a deep dive into the Air Force stats against the Nevada stats… not who is at home in Reno.  

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Recent Form

Air Force is 7-3 on the season while going 6-4 ATS.  They have logged 3 Overs and 7 Unders.  They are undefeated in road games ATS 4-0. The total points is set at 52.5 which has only hit Over in 1 Air Force game this season. 

Nevada is 7-3 on the season while going 7-3 ATS.  They have notched 6 Overs and 4 Unders.  They are a shocking 5-0 ATS at home.  The total points is set at 52.5 which has hit Over in 5 Nevada games this season.  

 

The Air Force Academy is ranked 67th in the FBS in ppg with 28.3, 63rd in ypg with 407.8, and 129th in passing yards with 96.7 per game.  The AFA is next to last in air attack… that just doesn’t seem right.  The Air Force is a ground game.

Nevada has a strong quarterback in Carson Strong… even though it’s an obnoxious name.  Nev is ranked 24th in ppg with 34.9, 25th in ypg with 437.9, and 4th in passing yards with 373.7 ypg…. They are the Air Force’s opposite in that Nevada is ranked 129 in RUSHING OFFENSE with a teeny tiny 64.2 ypg.

Defensive Analysis

Nevada is 48th in the FBS on rush defense.  They give up 136 ypg and 13 TDs so far.

Air Force is 31st in passing defense so far this season.  They have given up 123.3 ypg and a slim 10 TDs.

Our prediction for Friday, November 19th is….   Nevada 36 - Air Force 24

 

Nevada will take this one just on the passing game alone.

 

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Air Force is 4-2 ATS against conference opponents this season.

Air Force is 6-2 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Nevada is 9-4 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons.

Nevada is 5-1 ATS against conference opponents this season.

AFA: QB Haaziq Daniels, RB DeAndre Hughes, TE Dalton King, WR Brandon Lewis, WR Dane Kinamon, LT Kaleb Holcomb, LG Hawk Wimmer, OC Benjamin Mercer, RG Wesley Ndago, RT Everett Smalley, FB Brad Roberts

Nev: QB Carson Strong, RB Toa Taua, WR Justin Lockhart, WR Romeo Doubs, WR Melquan Stovall, LT Jacob Garner, LG Jermaine Ledbetter, OC Tyler Orsini, RG Drew Cannon, RT Aaron Frost, 

Air Force

Passing Yards: Haaziq Daniels 909

Rushing Yards: Brad Roberts: 1064

Receiving Yards: Brandon Lewis 424

Sacks: Vince Sanford: 6.5

Interceptions: Corvan Taylor 3

Nevada

Passing Yards: Carson Strong 3,547 

Rushing Yards: Toa Taua 558

Receiving Yards: Romeo Doubs 853

Sacks: Tristan Nichols 9.5

Interceptions: Daiyan Henley 4

COACHES

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