Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/02/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Oct 28, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024
Venue:  Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  AFA +23, Army -23; Over/Under:  41.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  AFA +23, Army -23; Over/Under:  41.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  AFA +23.5, Army -23.5; Over/Under:  41.5 points

Season Record

Air Force Falcons:  1-6 (0-4) (12th place, MWC)
Army Black Knights:  7-0 (6-0) (1st place, AAC)

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Recent Form
Air Force Falcons:  lost their last game at home against the Colorado State Rams 21-13.
Army Black Knights:  won their last game at home against the East Carolina Pirates 45-28.


Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights Preview and Analysis


Air Force Academy is entering this game with a 1-6 record overall and they have a 0-4 record in their conference games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Colorado State 21-13. John Busha was the starting QB and he completed 10/25 passes for 175 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Dylan Carson led the team in rushing yards with 60. Tylor Latham led the receivers with 51 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Daniel Grobe led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Army West Point is entering this game with a 7-0 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against East Carolina 45-28. Bryson Daily was the starting QB and he completed 7/10 passes for 147 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bryson Daily led the team in rushing yards with 171 and 5 TDs. Casey Reynolds led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Max DiDomenico led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Justin Weaver came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Air Force vs Army Prediction

The current betting odds have Army listed as a 23 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Army has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-0 record overall and their 6-0 conference record. This is their first season being in the AAC and they are already making waves as they lead the conference with the best record. Their offense has been rolling over teams and their defense has also looked really good. Meanwhile, Air Force has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-6 record overall and their 0-4 conference record. They are at the bottom of their conference and they have been the worst of the military schools this season. Their offense hasn't looked good and they aren't going to be able to keep up with the way this Army team can put up points. Their defense hasn't really been keeping opponents off the board either so this is a game Army can run away with. Army is looking to stay undefeated as long as possible, especially with the new playoff format as they do have a real chance of getting to the CFP now. Air Force will bring their best effort for this rivalry game, but it won't be enough to slow down this Army team. The best way to place a bet here is on Army to cover the spread in this game. 

Air Force Army Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Army 45 Air Force 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Air Force Falcons Army Black Knights prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Air Force Falcons: 1-5 ATS as an underdog. 1-6 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 4-10 ATS after playing a game at home. 1-7 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 4-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 8-3 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game. 6-2 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Army Black Knights: 6-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 11-6 ATS as a favorite. 8-1 ATS off a home win. 10-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 6-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 12-5 OVER as a favorite. 6-3 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.

Key Injuries


Air Force Falcons:  Q. Hayes (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Bradley (FB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Frew (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Calvert (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Army Black Knights:  A. Britton (K) Out - Knee. Z. Mundell (QB) Out - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“We realized we are a tough team and we are fighters. We fight until the last minute it shows us we are one play closer to actually winning a game, putting the whole thing together and actually winning.” - Camby Goff after their loss against CSU in their last game. 


“It’s an absolute testament to this offense that (coordinator) Cody Worley runs, the offensive line, the guys that block on the outside. Two or three touchdowns today were walk-ins. I’m extremely lucky to be in the position I am.” - Bryson Daily after their win against ECU in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Air Force Falcons
WR Smith, Quin
WR Harris, Cade
TE Fleischmann, Bruin
QB Busha, John
RB Frew, Kade
FB Carson, Dylan 

Army Black Knights
WR Fortner, Liam 
TE Crossan, David
QB Daily, Bryson
RB Udoh, Kanye 
RB Stewart, Miles 
SB Short, Noah

Statistical Leaders


Air Force Falcons
Passing: J. Busha (415)
Rushing: C. Harris (212)
Receiving: Q. Smith (207)
Touchdowns: C. Harris (4)

Army Black Knights
Passing: B. Daily (629)
Rushing: B. Daily (909)
Receiving: C. Reynolds (293)
Touchdowns: B. Daily (19)

Coaches:
Air Force Falcons: Troy Calhoun (18th season)
Army Black Knights: Jeff Monken (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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