A Few Early Super Bowl Longshots

by ASA, Inc.

Saturday, Apr 06, 2024
Green Bay Packers (+2200)
Shockingly, the Packers only have the 10th best odds to win the Super Bowl heading into the 2024 season. In the NFC, the 49ers, Cowboys, and Lions are all ahead of them currently. Green Bay struggled during the regular season, yet snuck into the playoffs only to destroy Dallas in the Wild Card round and nearly beat San Francisco in the Divisional round, both on the road. The last four games for the Packers, we saw an offensive line that looked like one of the best in football and Jordan Love seemingly step into the shoes left behind by Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay beat Kansas City in week 13 as another indicator they can play with the elites. Its hard to see a team that finished so strong, with such youth, have lower odds than teams such as the Cowboys, Bengals, Texans, and Eagles. Dallas and Philly especially both endured embarrassing first round playoff exits, while Cincinnati missed the postseason. Much can change with the Draft coming up April 25th, but expect Green Bay to rise in the odds over the offseason. 

Cleveland Browns (+4000)
Since 1995, the Browns have been a poverty franchise, winning double digit games in a season only an appalling three times. They won 11 games last year despite Nick Chubb and Deshaun Watson being out the majority of the season. Cleveland had the number one defense in terms of yardage allowed and still sports a top tier offensive line. Domination in the trenches is a huge factor in today's NFL and not many teams have the ability to keep up with the likes of the 49ers, Chiefs, and Ravens in that category. Cleveland does, and if they can keep their stars healthy for one year, they can accomplish more than just a first round playoff exit. Watson is expected to be ready for the start of the season and the Browns added Jerry Jerry to pair with Amari Cooper. The Browns have lower odds than the Dolphins, Jets, and Falcons who are all unproven and softer in the trenches. 

Tennessee Titans (+15000)
This is a long shot but with bottom five odds for the Super Bowl, the Titans will do better than the others in this range. Will Levis is the key and new head coach Brian Callahan will provide a new look to the usually Derrick Henry driven offense. Tennessee has been very active in free agency, signing Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard to help out Levis. They are also expected to add some beef up front with their top 10 pick. Many of the teams in the bottom half of the NFL have QB questions, but the Titans are going to roll with Levis who was solid, showing flashes of greatness in his nine stars. He is 6’4, 230 lbs and has elite arm strength. A Josh Allen type of development is a tall ask but is certainly possible based on what we saw in 2023. 


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