2020 NCAA Football: Fast-developing Trends in the Covid-era

by Tom Stryker

As a college football nation, we are obviously fighting through a very difficult time.  There are limited (or no) fans in the stands, an abundance of testing and several concerns floating around every college team on a weekly basis.  Until the man upstairs decides to bless us with a vaccine or a weakening of this ugly virus, we’ll be forced to adapt our handicapping styles and conform to what may, or may not, be working at the time.

The Team Stryker Database has been a lifesaver this football season.  What would normally take hours to research, is available at the click of a button in a matter of seconds.  Earlier this week, I created a COVID-19 set of games and tried to find money-making opportunities within them.  All results listed are from kickoff of the 2020 season through Wednesday, October 7th.

PLAY AGAINST
any 2020 college favorite priced at -4 or more if they are playing a conference opponent.
2020 Record =
33-13-1 ATS for 71.7 percent

PLAY AGAINST any 2020 college team if they take the field off a SU and ATS win.
2020 Record =
20-10 ATS for 66.7 percent

PLAY AGAINST
any 2020 college favorite priced at -11 or more.
2020 Record =
34-16 ATS for 68.0 percent

PLAY AGAINST
any 2020 college guest provided they arrive with momentum off a straight up win.
2020 Record =
20-8 ATS for 71.4 percent

PLAY ON
any 2020 college football home dog if they are battling a conference foe.
2020 Record =
17-5-1 ATS for 77.2 percent

As you can see from the results listed above, the dogs are barking this football season.  Of course, it’s early.  These are simply trends that have developed out of the gate.  As teams progress through the year and offenses and defenses mature, these technical situations will likely change.  The results are certainly interesting and definitely worth noting at least for now.

Next week, I’ll be back with a look at what’s working during these COVID-19 times in the NFL.  Best of luck as always men!

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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