2020 NCAA Basketball: An Early Look at Winning Trends

by Al McMordie

Friday, Dec 18, 2020
The 2020 College Basketball season is almost a month old, so it's a great time to take a look at the season's developing trends.

There have been 735 games played with point spreads.  And unlike, say, the NFL, where the underdogs have shined, there has not been a difference in performance between the underdogs and the favorites.  Nor has there been a significant difference between home teams and road teams.

Let's take a look at the early numbers.

Favorites:  353-363-19 ATS
Underdogs:  363-353-19 ATS
Home Teams:  301-286-14 ATS
Away Teams:  286-301-14 ATS

Home Favorites:  230-227-12 ATS
Away Favorites: 59-71-2 ATS
Neutral Court Favorites: 64-65-5 ATS

Home Underdogs:  71-59-2 ATS
Away Underdogs: 227-230-12 ATS
Neutral Court Underdogs:  65-64-5 ATS

Of course, the best handicappers go beneath the surface to analyze the best situations.  Here are some of the better situations that have delivered the $$$ so far in 2020.

Teams off back-to-back losses vs. foes off a win:  64-43-3 ATS, including 35-19-1 ATS off 3+ losses
Teams off 3+ wins vs. foes off a loss:  26-36-2 ATS
Underdogs off back-to-back ATS wins:  22-44-1 ATS, including 10-31-1 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win
Underdogs off back-to-back ATS losses:  58-40-5 ATS, including 50-29-4 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss
Road teams off upset wins:  27-11-1 ATS, including 16-2-1 ATS off a double-digit win
Teams off back-to-back upset wins:  7-1 ATS
Teams off back-to-back upset defeats:  6-4 ATS
Same-season revenge:  17-9 ATS
Unrested vs. rested:  26-14-3 ATS

Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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