Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/05/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Sunday, May 5, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +124, Stars -148; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +125, Stars -145; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +120, Stars -145; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  45-29-8 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  6-3-1 last 10

Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 98 points, a 45-29-8 record overall, and they were 18-17-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 2-0. Noah Hanifin and Mark Stone each scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Karlsson and Alex Pietrangelo each led the team in assists with 1 while Alex Pietrangelo and William Carrier each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 23 shots with 23 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 245 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one on the road 2-0. No one on the team scored a goal or recorded an assist for them in that game. Thomas Harley and Tyler Seguin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 29 shots with 28 saves and a .966 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Knights listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Wild Card, the Golden Knights, for Round 1 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 3-3 after the Knights won game 6 of this series on their home ice. The Knights got off to a great start in this series, winning the first 2 games in Dallas, but then they lost the next 2 games on their home ice and ended up going down 3-2 in the series after 3 losses in a row. They got back on track with a win in game 6 though and now they have some momentum coming into this one in Dallas where they have already won 2 of the 3 games in this series there. The Stars had a chance to close out the series with their momentum from 3 wins in a row but they weren't able to do so and now the defending Stanley Cup champions are going to use their playoff experience to dig deep in this game. The Stars offense has been streaky in their games lately and right now they are coming off a game they were shut out in. The Knights have found some traction with Hill in net and they will use their momentum to close out this series and stay alive as the defending champions. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knights to win this game. 

Golden Knights Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Sunday, May 5, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Knights 3 Stars 2.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 43-39 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 26-27 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. 25-22 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 14-5 UNDER after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 15-7 UNDER off a home win where they shut out their opponent. 

Dallas Stars: 71-43 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 39-20 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. 11-4 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline off a road loss. 21-12 UNDER off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more. 7-4 UNDER after getting shutout in their previous game. 4-1 UNDER when attempting to close out a playoff series.

Vegas Golden Knights:  N. Hague (D) Out Indefinitely - Lower Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Dallas Stars:  M. Marchment (LW) Out Indefinitely - Undisclosed. R. Faksa (C) Ques Sun - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“At the end of the year, Adin was feeling pretty good about this game. You could see it in practice. It was just pucks were finding their way in. ... He should have confidence. He just pitched a shutout and made some really high-end saves.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Stars in game 6 of this series on Friday.

“There's nothing better than Game 7s. That's what you grew up dreaming about playing and the second-best thing is coaching in them.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Knights in game 6 of this series on Friday.

LW Hertl, Tomas

C Eichel, Jack

RW Marchessault, Jonathan

LD Martinez, Alec

RD Pietrangelo, Alex

G Hill, Adin

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Pavelski, Joe

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: J. Marchessault (69)

Goals: J. Marchessault (42)

Assists: M. Stone (37)

GAA: L. Thompson (2.70)

Points: J. Robertson (80)

Goals: W. Johnston (32)

Assists: J. Robertson (51)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)