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Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/01/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Apr 30, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 1, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +136, Stars -162; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +130, Stars -155; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +135, Stars -160; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  45-29-8 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  5-4-1 last 10
Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 98 points, a 45-29-8 record overall, and they were 18-17-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one at home 4-2. Michael Amadio and Jack Eichel each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Ivan Barbashev, Brett Howden, Jonathan Marchessault, and Brayden McNabb each led the team in assists with 1 while Jonathan Marchessault led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 31 shots with 28 saves and a .903 save percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 245 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-2. Evgenii Dadonov, Ty Dellandrea, Roope Hintz, and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Matt Duchene, Tyler Seguin, Craig Smith, Sam Steel, and Ryan Suter each led the team in assists with 1 while Wyatt Johnston led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 34 shots with 32 saves and a .941 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Wild Card, the Golden Knights, for Round 1 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Stars won game 4 of this series on the road. The Stars got down in an early hole in this series, losing both games at home to start, but they bounced back in their last 2 games with 2 road wins to even up this series. Now the Stars have the home advantage back on their side and they have flipped all the momentum in their favor with 2 wins in a row now, going back home with a chance to take a series lead now. The Knights jumped ahead in those first 2 games in this series as they caught the Stars by surprise, but now the defending Stanley Cup champions have lost the home advantage they got from those 2 wins and they haven't been that good in their road games this year. They were only 18-17-6 in their road games while the Stars looked great on home ice all season with their 26-11-4 home record. The Stars also have the better goaltending to back them up in this series and now that their offense is starting to roll too, they have too much momentum on their side here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Golden Knights Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 1, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Knights 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 68-34 (+29 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 22-11 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline off a home loss by 2 goals or more. 29-18 (+7 units) on the moneyline after 2 or more consecutive losses. 11-6 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 4 or more goals. 6-2 UNDER after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. 

Dallas Stars: 41-43 (-20.6 units) on the moneyline after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 64-55 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games. 21-23 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline when tied in a playoff series. 11-6 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs. 359-270 UNDER after a win by 2 goals or more.

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  N. Hague (D) Ques Wed - Lower Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Dallas Stars:  M. Marchment (LW) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. R. Faksa (C) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“We can get out of the period 2-2. We stayed too long in the shift. Then we mismanaged the puck. It's a fortunate play, but they're putting everything to the net. You're going to get some of those bounces.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 4 of this series on Monday.


“I thought in the second period we really took control of the game. The play in the third period was just lock it down. You don't like to sit back that much, but I felt like we were smart like they were in Dallas when they had the lead going into the third.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Knights in game 4 of this series on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Hanifin, Noah
RD Pietrangelo, Alex
G Thompson, Logan

Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Johnston, Wyatt
LD Harley, Thomas
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Marchessault (69)
Goals: J. Marchessault (42)
Assists: M. Stone (37)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.70)

Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (80)
Goals: W. Johnston (32)
Assists: J. Robertson (51)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)