Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/24/2022

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 24, 2022

Venue:  Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL 

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +40.5, Alabama -40.5; Over/Under:  58.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +40.5, Alabama -40.5; Over/Under:  58.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +40.5, Alabama -40.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

 

Vanderbilt Commodores:  3-1 (4th place, SEC East)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  3-0 (3rd place, SEC West)

 

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Vanderbilt Commodores:  won their last game on the road against the Northern Illinois Huskies 38-28.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game at home against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 63-7.

 

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 2-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 1st conference game of the college football season this year. They won against the NIU Huskies in their last game on the road 38-28. AJ Swann started that game at QB and he completed 18/28 passes for 255 yards and 4 touchdowns. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing with 116 yards and 1 TD on 23 rushing attempts. Will Sheppard led the team in receiving with 171 yards and 2 TDs on 10 receptions. Anfernee Orji led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles. Bakary Diakité led the defense in sacks with 1 while De'Rickey Wright came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Alabama is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd home game of the season as they are 2-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 1st conference matchup on their conference schedule this season. They won against the UL-Monroe Warhawks in their last game at home 63-7. Bryce Young started that game at QB and he completed 13/18 passes for 236 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Roydell Williams led the team in rushing with 58 yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in receiving with 65 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. DeMarcco Hellams led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Brian Branch, Henry To'oto'o, and Will Anderson Jr. all led the defense in sacks with 1 each while Will Anderson Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 40.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked very good in their games against weak teams this year. They didn't look great in their game against Texas as they almost lost but Texas does have a good team while Alabama has looked great in their games against cupcake teams. They covered the 40 point spread against Utah State earlier this season and over the last 3 seasons they are 4-1 ATS when the spread is over 40 points. Vandy started the season off playing well but they also haven't played any tough teams this season. They have been getting worse the harder the teams get though and they just barely beat NIU in their last game while allowing 28 points in that game. Alabama will be able to move the ball on this defense with ease and score a lot of points while Vandy struggles to move the ball on the Alabama defense. This is also their 1st conference game of the year and after almost losing to Texas in a game a few weeks ago, they will be trying to prove a point in this game and blow Vandy out. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.

 

Vanderbilt Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 24, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 59 Vanderbilt 10.

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Vanderbilt Commodores: 9-2 ATS in road games. 23-14 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points. 10-6 OVER off 3 or more consecutive overs.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 18-27 ATS as a favorite of 31 or more points. 6-1 OVER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 17-7 OVER after playing 2 straight non-conference games.

 

 

Vanderbilt Commodores:  R. Griffin (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Walker (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Capers (DE) out for season - Knee.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  T. Harrell (WR) Ques Sat - Foot. A. Anderson (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Earle (WR) Mid Oct - Foot.

 

 

"We weren't playing well enough on offense (in previous games) to not look at what we could do to move forward. We knew we had to open up and see if there was an answer for us. We've seen (AJ) in practice. He's been a consistent playmaker for us in practice and a guy that has shown command of an offense. I'm pleased that he was able to show up today." - Clark Lea after his team’s win against NIU in their last game.

 

 

"There's some evidence out there that this is the standard we want to play to." - Nick Saban after his team’s win against ULM in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Sheppard, Will 

WR Skinner Jr., Quincy

WR McGowan, Jayden 

TE Bresnahan, Ben

TE Schoenwald, Gavin 

QB Wright, Mike

RB Davis, Ray 

 

WR Burton, Jermaine 

WR Holden, Traeshon

WR Prentice, Kobe 

TE Latu, Cameron

QB Young, Bryce 

RB Gibbs, Jahmyr 

 

 

Passing: A. Swann (452)

Rushing: R. Davis (385)

Receiving: W. Sheppard (313)

Touchdowns: W. Sheppard (7) 

 

Passing: B. Young (644)

Rushing: J. MccLellan (167)

Receiving: T. Holden (169)

Touchdowns: T. Holden (3)

 

Coaches:

Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (2nd season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (16th season)