Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Previews and Picks 10/09/2022

 

Game Time:  1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 9th, 2022

Venue:  FedEx Field, Washington DC

Where to Watch:  CBS

 

FanDuel: point spread: Titans -2.5, Commanders +2.5; O/U 42.5

DraftKings: Titans -2.5, Commanders +2.5; O/U 42.5

BetMGM: Titans -2.5, Commanders +2.5; O/U 42.5

Caesars: Titans -2.5, Commanders +2.5; O/U 42.5

 

Titans: 2-2. Tied for first place AFC South

Commanders: 1-3, last place NFC East

An inter-conference battle of teams looking for an identity.  The Tennessee Titans are 2-2 and coming off an obvious win to the Indianapolis Colts.  It was also a nice little win ATS. When I say obvious I actually don’t care who wins, only who wins ATS.  If I was telling you straight up that would be referenced as double obvious.  The Washington Commanders are still the proverbial turd in the punchbowl in the NFC East… what is making them extra pathetic is the rest of the NFC East are starting to play better.  We are still so very early in the season that both teams could have radical turnarounds… both teams could also drift into obscurity.  Let’s check the numbers and win a UNIT!

The Tennessee Titans lost their first two games and won their next two games… The difference was of course the first two teams were good and the next two were bad.  That is a major red flag in betting… We are talking about a team that is advertising “AVERAGE”.  The benefit of betting the Titans is that the Commanders may be the worst team they run into all season.  (That doesn’t mean betting the Titans until we check the numbers and make a prediction.  The Titans have always been on slippery footing with Ryan Tannehill at QB… Ryan is a guy that has an equal amount of good and bad seasons… after plenty of time to show us what he can do.  The upside for the Titans is that they have Derrick Henry… who has 306 yards after 4 games… and always promises to have a big game if he gets past the Middle linebacker after hitting the hole.  He is a great running back that is getting a little long in the tooth.  The Titans are favored by 3.5 points even though the numbers say they are bad on both offense AND defense.

The Washington Commanders have one of the worst owners in all of sports… They guy is like Dolan with the Knicks in the NBA… No one wants any more of his ideas anywhere… Yet he keeps on owning a desperately historic and necessary team.  Those are the breaks. Bad leadership always gets Knicks and Commanders results… bad year after year… rebuild… bad year after year… rebuild… bad year after year.  You get it.  The Commanders have QB Carson Wentz… that guy has talent and lots of troubles. His troubles are never quite getting healthy and never quite being in a great position.  Agents help get players the best possible CONTRACT… not always the best possible position.  When someone with Carson’s talent is landing on a new team after being beaten up by his last team… Agents should consider finding them somewhere for less money to play backup to a great quarterback… He then gets a full year or 18 months of rehab and relaxation until he gets inserted after a sprained ankle to the starter… Then BOOM… He looks like his old self! Carson will never get that opportunity. Carson has Antonio Gibson and not much else to help him out… That is a big reason this team is below average in all categories.

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RECENT FORM

TEN: 2-2, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-1 on the road.

WAS: 1-3, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-1 at home.

 

The Titans came out of Week 4 22nd in scoring with 18.8 points per game, 29th in yards per game with 287.5 per game, 27th in passing yards with 185.2 per game, and 20th in rushing yards with 102.2 per game.  They are well -rounded but below average on offense.  Whether they are running or passing they simply are not the best.

The Commanders came out of Week 4 25th in scoring with 18.2 per game, 23rd in total yards with 330.8 yards per game, 17th in passing yards with 230.2 per game, and 21st in rushing yards with 100.5 per game.

The Titans defense came out of Week 4 26th in defense of total yards with 392.3 per game, 29th in defense of passing yards with 274 per game, 19th in rushing yards defense with 118.3 per game.

The Commanders defense came out of Week 4 23rd in defense of total yards with 371.8 yards per game, 24th in defense of passing yards with 259.8 per game, 16th in defense of rushing yards with 112 per game, and 29th in defense of total points with 26.8 per game.

Our prediction for Sunday, October 9th is… Titans 28 - Commanders 20

Bet on the Titans.  The Titans are not special but for a QB like Tannehill… throwing against a pass defense this bad will be a life-saver… a real opportunity to restore any idea of finishing the season with quality stats.  Bet on the Titans ATS… You should ignore the O/U… It is soft… but both these teams are capable of simply not moving the ball for long stretches… and both these D’s are capable of giving up the shop to the other side… so Titans ATS.

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The Titans are 60-36 ATS in non-conference games.

The Titans are 8-2 ATS after an upset win as an underdog.

The ZCommanders are 13-15 ATS as an underdog the last 3 seasons.

The Commanders do not have a single positive winning stat ATS over the last 3 seasons.

 

Titans: 4 guys are listed as Quest but will play.  WR T Burks Doubt ** DB C Jackson Out ** T T Lewan Out ** T J Jones Out ** RB T Cannon Out 

Commanders: T S Cosmi Out ** C C Roullier Out ** G W Schweitzer Out ** DT P Mathis Out ** DE C Young Out ** Plus 5 guys are Quest but will play.

Titans: QB Ryan Tannehill, RB Derrick Henry, FB Troy Carter, WR Treylo0n Burks, TE Chigoziem Okonkwo, TE Geoff Swaim, LT Dennis Daley, LG Aaron Brewer, C Ben Jones, RG Nate Davis, RT Nicholas Petit-Frere

Commaders: QB Carson Wentz, RB Antonio Gibson, WR Curtis Samuel, WR Terry McLaurin, TE Logan Thomas, TE John Bates, LT Charles Leno Jr, LG Andrew Norwell, C Nick Martin, RG Trai Turner, RT Sam Cosmi