TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/24/2022

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 24, 2022

Venue:  Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN Networks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU PK, SMU PK; Over/Under:  69 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU PK, SMU PK; Over/Under:  69.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU -1, SMU +1; Over/Under:  69.5 points

 

TCU Horned Frogs:  2-0 (5th place, Big 12)

SMU Mustangs:  2-1 (5th place, AAC)

 

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TCU Horned Frogs:  won their last game at home against the Tarleton State Texans 59-17.

SMU Mustangs:  lost their last game on the road against the Maryland Terrapins 34-27.

 

TCU is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 1-0 in their road games this year. They won against the Tarleton State Texans in their last game at home 59-17. Max Duggan started that game at QB and he completed 23/29 passes for 390 yards and 5 touchdowns. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with 56 yards and 1 TD on 13 rushing attempts. Jordan Hudson led the team in receiving with 76 yards and 1 TD on 5 receptions. Jamoi Hodge led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Josh Newton and Jaionte McMillan each came away with 1 interception for them while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one.

 

 

 

SMU is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd home game of the season as they are 1-0 in their home games this year. They lost against the Maryland Terrapins in their last game on the road 34-27. Tanner Mordecai started that game at QB and he completed 29/54 passes for 369 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Tre Siggers led the team in rushing with 86 yards on 19 carries. Rashee Rice led the team in receiving with 193 yards on 11 receptions. Isaac Slade-Matautia led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. Elijah Chatman led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have SMU listed as a PK in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU has looked good in their first few games but they just lost last week in a game where they made a lot of mistakes on the road against Maryland. TCU didn't play last week as they got to enjoy one of their bye weeks and are on 2 weeks extended rest for this game. TCU has also looked great in their 2 games but they have also played 2 really bad teams so this will be their 1st real test on the road against a good SMU team. SMU still played well against Maryland last week and were leading for most of that game. They made some mistakes near the end to lose but they will be working on cleaning up those mistakes at practice and should play a lot better in this game at home. Things are still up in the air for TCU since they haven't played anyone good and now they haven't played in 2 weeks going on the road against an angry team looking to bounce back. SMU is going to clean up their game here and will win here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on SMU to win this game and cover the spread here at home.

 

TCU SMU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 24, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is SMU 42 TCU 35.

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TCU Horned Frogs: 9-4 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less. 19-11 OVER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 21-13 OVER after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points. 

SMU Mustangs: 19-34 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 17-22 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 25-11 OVER after playing 2 straight non-conference games.

 

 

TCU Horned Frogs:  Q. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Morris (QB) Ques Sept 24 - Knee.

SMU Mustangs:  B. Corrales (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

 

 

"I think we're in a good spot. Obviously, Max Duggan has a significant résumé. He has played a lot of snaps in the last three years here at TCU, has played very well. ... Chandler is the same way. You look at some of the games he played in last year, he played exceptional. So they both have experience and they both have done it." - Sonny Dykes on his QB situation this season.

 

 

"I think Ray Charles could see he was down, but you have to hold onto the football. You have to hold onto the football." - Rhett Lashlee after his team’s loss against Maryland in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Johnston, Quentin

WR Williams, Savion

WR Spivey, Geor'Quarius 

WR Barber, Taye

TE Wiley, Jared 

QB Duggan, Max

RB Miller, Kendre 

 

WR Kerley, Jordan

WR Bailey, Jake

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Redding, Ben 

QB Mordecai, Tanner 

RB Siggers, Tre 

 

 

Passing: M. Duggan (417)

Rushing: K. Miller (108)

Receiving: J. Hudson (84)

Touchdowns: K. Miller (2)

 

Passing: T. Mordecai (1013)

Rushing: T. McDaniel (156)

Receiving: R. Rice (491)

Touchdowns: R. Rice (3)

 

Coaches:

TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (1st season)

SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (1st season)