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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Jun 16, 2022
Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Friday, June 17, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN2

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -155, Orioles +135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -155, Orioles +135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -155, Orioles +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  35-27 (3rd place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  27-37 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Tampa Bay Rays Analysis

The Rays are coming into this game with a 35-27 record overall and they are 14-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series against the New York Yankees still to be played on Thursday. Jalen Beeks is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Shane Baz will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 19.29 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 2 Ks on 3 hits in 2.1 IP against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 3 runs in their last series averaging 1.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 6 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 27-37 record overall and they are 15-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just split their 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-2 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rays on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Thursday. Tyler Wells is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Dean Kremer will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits in 5 innings played against the Kansas City Royals. They scored 13 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 23 runs against them averaging just under 8 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

The Rays are coming into this game off of a lost series in their last against the Yankees but they put up a very good fight against the best team in the MLB and had a chance to win both of those games with great pitching. They have not been hitting well recently but their pitching has been on and they are going up against an Orioles team that is at the bottom of the division right now. They have Kremer on the mound here and he has not been awful this season but he has not pitched in many games either and has been out for almost the entire season with an injury. The Rays have Baz starting here and he is also coming off of an injury as he has only made 1 appearance this season but he has a much better bullpen to back him up if he does pitch a bad game and the Orioles have been going downhill with their pitching in recent weeks. After a close series loss to the Yankees, the Rays will be hungry for a series win here and the Orioles are a team that they should be sweeping as well. The best bet here is on the Rays to win this game on the runline.
 
Rays Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 17, 2022 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Rays 4 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Tampa Bay Rays: 187-121 (+36.7 Units) ML in all games. 70-53 (+18.5 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 74-58 OVER in road games. 
Baltimore Orioles: 104-182 (-21.6 Units) ML in all games. 55-86 (-9.6 Units) ML in home games. 10-4 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Tampa Bay Rays:  M. Zunino (C) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Late June - Quadricep. B. Lowe (2B) Late June - Back.
Baltimore Orioles:  R. Urias (SS) Late June - Upper Body. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Ellis (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That ball should have been caught 100%." - Brett Phillips after their loss against the Yankees on Wednesday.
 
 
"Bautista is not a ground ball guy, he throws 101 miles an hour. If the count goes a little deeper, possibly. You've got Kirk and (Teoscar) Hernández, some really good hitters, behind him. Give Vladdy credit, he got on top of 100." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 3B
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Manuel Margot (R) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Isaac Paredes (R) 1B
Rene Pinto (R) C
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
Taylor Walls (S) SS
Vidal Brujan (S) 2B
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) DH
Austin Hays (R) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Tyler Nevin (R) 3B
Kyle Stowers (L) LF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Ryan McKenna (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Manuel Margot (.317)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (61)
Home Runs:  Randy Arozarena (7)
RBI:  Ji-Man Choi (32)
Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (12)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (7)
Saves:  Andrew Kittredge (5)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Richie Martin (.333)
Hits:  Austin Hays (65)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (12)
RBI:  Austin Hays (36)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (16)
Wins:  Cionel Perez (4)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (9)
ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)
 
Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)