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San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 21, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 22, 2023
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  BSSW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs +17.5, Bucks -17.5; Over/Under:  237 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs +17.5, Bucks -17.5; Over/Under:  237 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs +17.5, Bucks -17.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Season Record

San Antonio Spurs:  19-52 (4th place, Southwest Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  51-20 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10


San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Spurs are coming into this game with a 19-52 record overall and they are 6-27 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game against the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday that needs to be played first as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Wednesday. They are entering this game off of a win against the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell each led the team in points in that game with 29 while Zach Collins was next on the team with 19 points. Tre Jones led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Keldon Johnson led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 54.3% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 122.1 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 30-41 this season and their O/U record is 40-29-2.



The Bucks are coming into this game with a 51-20 record overall and they are 29-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Brook Lopez led the team in points in that game with 26 while Giannis Antetokounmpo was next on the team with 22 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 52.4% from the field, 35.6% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 39-27-5 this season and their O/U record is 35-36.


Spurs vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 17.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have been having a great season with their 51-20 record overall now making them the best team in the East and the entire NBA. They have been great in their road games too with a 29-7 road record and they will have some momentum from a win against the Raptors in their last game. They have already clinched a playoff spot this season but they are still in a very close race for the number 1 seed in the East so they need to keep fighting and winning games until they lock it up. The Spurs have been terrible this season with their 19-52 record overall and they have been just as bad in their road games with a 6-27 road record. They finally got a win over the Hawks in their last game but they are also going to be on a back-to-back here with a game against the Pelicans on Tuesday and that is going to have them fatigued in this game the next day as they will have to travel to Milwaukee after. The Bucks are one of the best teams in the NBA right now and they will have no trouble pulling away in this home game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game.

Spurs Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 22, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 127 Spurs 104.
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NBA Betting Trends


San Antonio Spurs: 11-22 ATS as a road underdog. 6-14 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 13-6 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
Milwaukee Bucks: 12-4 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 16-8 ATS in non-conference games. 20-13 UNDER after playing a home game.

Key Injuries


San Antonio Spurs:  D. McDermott (SF) Prob Tues - Hip. T. Jones (PG) Doub Tues - Hamstring. Z. Collins (PF) Out Tues - Rest. J. Sochan (PF) Out Tues - Knee. D. Vassell (SG) Out Tues - Rest. D. Graham (PG) Ques Tues - Quadricep. K. Birch (C) Late March - Knee. C. Bassey (C) out for season - Knee.
Milwaukee Bucks:  G. Dragic (PG) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Crowder (SF) Ques Wed - Calf. T. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Wed - Personal. M. Leonard (PF) Ques Wed - Calf.


Notable Quotes


“A tale of two cities this week. The competitiveness and physicality was great. I think they scored 35 (in the second half). When you play that competitive and physically, good things usually happen.” - Gregg Popovich after his team’s win against the Hawks in their game on Sunday.


“It changed the game. I think what he did offensively was important, and then the defense always stands out. It was a little bit muddy, not a pretty game there, and he stepped up and kind of just changed our feel and changed the momentum for us, particularly offensively, which we needed tonight.” - Mike Budenholzer after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


San Antonio Spurs
PG Tre Jones 
SG Malaki Branham
SF Doug McDermott
PF Keita Bates-Diop 
C Sandro Mamukelashvili

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Grayson Allen
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


San Antonio Spurs
PPG: K. Johnson (21.8)
APG: T. Jones (6.2)
Reb/G: Z. Collins (6.3)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.3)
APG: J. Holiday (7.3)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)

Coaches:
San Antonio Spurs: Gregg Popovich (27th season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Mike Budenholzer (5th season)