Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/05/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, May 5, 2024

Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Magic +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  195.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Magic +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  195.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Magic +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  195.5 points

Orlando Magic:  47-35 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Cleveland Cavaliers:  48-34 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Orlando Magic:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10

The Magic are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 18-23 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Paolo Banchero led the team in points in that game with 27 while Franz Wagner was next on the team with 26 points. Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, and Markelle Fultz each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Jonathan Isaac and Wendell Carter Jr. each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39.3% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.5 PPG against them. The Magic have an ATS record of 55-33 this season and their O/U record is 39-48-1.

The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 48-34 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Orlando Magic in their last game. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 50 while Darius Garland was next on the team with 21 points. Darius Garland led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Max Strus and Marcus Morris Sr. each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.8% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 40-46-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-45-1.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Cavaliers and the 5th seeded Magic for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 3-3 after the Magic won game 6 of this series on their home court. So far, this series has been a really home dominated series with the home team winning every game and covering the spread in most. It's not surprising though considering how good both teams were at home this season and how bad they were in their road games. The Magic have looked terrible in their road games this season with their 18-23 road record, losing all 3 road games in this series too, while the Cavaliers have looked great on their home court with their 26-15 home record this year, winning all 3 home games in this series too. The Cavaliers didn't cover the spread in their last home game, only beating the Magic by 1 point, but they looked a lot better in the last game which was in Orlando as they were able to keep the game much closer and were right in it with a chance to win until the end. The Magic have looked great in their games this season and in this series, but they are still a young team while the Cavaliers have a lot more playoff experience, led by their star Donovan Mitchell, so the Cavs will find a way to come clutch in this game at home and close out the series here, sending the Magic home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Magic Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, May 5, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 105 Magic 97.

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Orlando Magic: 18-7 ATS against Central division opponents. 18-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 18-10 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 17-8 UNDER against Central division opponents. 16-7 UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or less. 

Cleveland Cavaliers: 3-8 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 3-6 ATS after a game where both teams scored 105 points or less. 11-2 UNDER in all playoff games. 14-8 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 8-3 UNDER after 2 straight games where both teams scored 105 points or less.

Orlando Magic:  G. Harris (SG) Ques Sun - Hamstring.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  C. Porter Jr. (PG) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Allen (C) Ques Sun - Ribs. D. Wade (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“Being on the road for Game 7, the ability to come together and continue to grow each game, I think that’s what this group is looking forward to. It’s not going to be easy, nor do we want it to be easy. The harder it is, the better we will be.” - Jamahl Mosley after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in game 6 of this series on Friday.

“Our guys will be ready for the moment. They’ve been really good at home and we don’t expect that to change.” - J.B. Bickerstaff after his team’s loss against the Magic in game 6 of this series on Friday.

PG Jalen Suggs

SG Gary Harris

SF Franz Wagner

PF Paolo Banchero

C Wendell Carter Jr.

PG Darius Garland

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Evan Mobley

C Jarrett Allen

PPG: P. Banchero (22.6)

APG: P. Banchero (5.4)

Reb/G: P. Banchero (6.9)

PPG: D. Mitchell (26.6)

APG: D. Garland (6.5)

Reb/G: J. Allen (10.5)

Coaches:

Orlando Magic: Jamahl Mosley (3rd season)

Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)