North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/07/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Venue:  John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  NC State +7, Virginia -7; Over/Under:  136.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  NC State +7, Virginia -7; Over/Under:  136.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  NC State +7, Virginia -7; Over/Under:  136.5 points

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  19-5 (9-4) (4th place, ACC)

Virginia Cavaliers:  17-4 (9-3) (2nd place, ACC)

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North Carolina State Wolfpack:  4-1  last 5

Virginia Cavaliers:  4-1  last 5

NC State is coming into this game with a 19-5 record overall and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 9-4 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, the Florida State Seminoles, and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game. DJ Burns led the team in points in that game with 24 while Casey Morsell was next on the team with 17 points. Terquavion Smith led the team in assists in that game with 10 while DJ Burns led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 41.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.5 PPG against them. NC State has an ATS record of 11-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 13-11.

Virginia is coming into this game with a 17-4 record overall and they are 10-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 9-3 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Virginia Tech Hokies in their last game. Jayden Gardner led the team in points in that game with 20 while Kihei Clark was next on the team with 17 points. Reece Beekman led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jayden Gardner led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 41% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.9 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 8-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-9.

The current betting odds have NC State listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. NC State has been having a very good season as they are 19-5 overall this year with a 9-4 conference record too. They haven't been the best in road games but are still 3-3 in road games this year and they are getting a lot of points here when they enter this one on a 4 game winning streak. Virginia has also been having a great season as they enter this game as a ranked team, one of the best in the country, and they are 17-4 overall with their 9-3 conference record. They have been great at home with a 10-1 home record too but they are also a more defensive team that doesn't score a ton of points so they are not going to blow a lot of teams out winning with good defensive play, especially another team as good as NC State has been playing. NC State will do enough to keep this a close game as they will not allow Virginia to pull away by too much. The best way to place a bet here is on NC State to cover the spread in this game.

North Carolina State Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 7, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Virginia 63 NC State 60.

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North Carolina State Wolfpack: 17-34 ATS against conference opponents. 3-12 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. 23-15 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.

Virginia Cavaliers: 36-16 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 34-17 UNDER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 13-4 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  J. Clark (G) Out indefinitely - Hip. D. Mahorcic (F) Early Feb - Knee.

Virginia Cavaliers:  None.

“But we found a way to win when our two superstars didn’t play their best game.” - Kevin Keatts after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.

"I’m sure there was some little adjustments. They’re very physical. They did a good job of holding our cutters. Not holding but making them fight to get open off screens. They just spread out and worked and made us shoot some contested shots and it just kind of came down to that but coach does a good job with them. They tried to jam the lane, both teams got some points in the paint and you do have to hit some outside shots but I thought they were down and ready. Again, it was a lively environment which we knew it would and they responded." - Tony Bennett after his team’s loss against VA Tech in their last game.

J. Clark 

J. Joiner 

D. Mahorcic 

C. Morsell 

T. Smith

R. Beekman 

K. Clark 

A. Franklin 

J. Gardner 

K. Shedrick

PPG: T. Smith (18.5)

APG: T. Smith (4.6)

Reb/G: J. Clark (7.3)

PPG: A. Franklin (12.7)

APG: K. Clark (6)

Reb/G: J. Gardner (5.1)

Coaches:

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Kevin Keatts (6th season)

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (14th season)