Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Friday, November 24, 2023
Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Mizzou -7, Arkansas +7; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Mizzou -7.5, Arkansas +7.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Mizzou -7.5, Arkansas +7.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Missouri Tigers: 9-2 (5-2) (2nd place, SEC East)
Arkansas Razorbacks: 4-7 (1-6) (7th place, SEC West)
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Missouri Tigers: won their last game at home against the Florida Gators 33-31.
Arkansas Razorbacks: won their last game at home against the Florida International Panthers 44-20.
Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Preview and Analysis
Missouri is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Florida 33-31. Brady Cook was the starting QB and he completed 20/34 passes for 331 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Cody Schrader led the team in rushing yards with 148 and 1 TD. Luther Burden led the receivers with 158 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Kris Abrams-Draine led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Darius Robinson and Jayden Jernigan each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylon Carlies came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Arkansas is entering this game with a 4-7 record overall and they have a 1-6 record in their conference games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against FIU 44-20. KJ Jefferson was the starting QB and he completed 15/28 passes for 187 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isaiah Augustave led the team in rushing yards with 101. Andrew Armstrong led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Antonio Grier Jr. led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jordan Crook and Landon Jackson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Al Walcott came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction
The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked really good this season with their 9-2 record overall and their 5-2 conference record. They don't really have anything left to play for this season since they can't make it to the SEC Championship but they will be motivated to keep winning and finish with the best possible record they can as a statement. Arkansas has looked terrible this season with their 4-7 record overall and they really struggled against SEC opponents this season with their 1-6 conference record. They do have the home advantage here but they are only 3-3 in their home games this season while Mizzou is 2-1 in the 3 road games they have played. Arkansas has not only had a terrible season but they also have nothing left to play for as they can't even become bowl eligible. This season is a write off for Arkansas while Missouri has been surging all year and will be motivated to see how well they can finish the season. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game.
Missouri Arkansas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 24, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Missouri 38 Arkansas 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Missouri Tigers: 5-11 ATS as a favorite. 1-5 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 6-10 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points. 9-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 8-2 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.
Arkansas Razorbacks: 11-5 ATS as an underdog. 25-10 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 15-7 ATS off 3 or more consecutive overs. 13-4 UNDER as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 14-8 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive overs.
Key Injuries
Missouri Tigers: B. Norfleet (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. T. Hopper (LB) Ques Fri - Ankle. D. Houston (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. Bailey (LB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. S. McNeil (DB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Cox (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. I. Thompson (DB) out for season - Lower Body.
Arkansas Razorbacks: R. Dubinion (RB) out for season - Knee. R. Sanders (RB) out for season - Shoulder. D. Bale (P) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. T. Washington (TE) out for season - Shoulder. L. Hasz (TE) out for season - Shoulder. S. Mbake (WR) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I thought it was really big, the takeaway in the red zone and then to score to go up nine. I really felt like that might have been the dagger that put them away. Defensively we were just not consistent tonight. We had them behind the chains, we let the quarterback scramble and they were able to get the fourth down. We were just really leaky in our run fits and we've got a lot of work to do this week to get that stuff fixed.” - Eli Drinkwitz after his team’s win against Florida in their last game.
“Going into this week, I wanted to see what he could do in a live game. We needed a shot at running back. We needed somebody to make people miss, run over people, hit holes-- whatever it may be, with some urgency. We thought it might put some urgency into all of that group as well by seeing that he was going to get the opportunity to play.” - Sam Pittman after his team’s win against FIU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Missouri Tigers
WR Wease Jr., Theo
WR Cooper, Mookie
WR Burden III, Luther
TE Stephens, Tyler
QB Cook, Brady
RB Schrader, Cody
Arkansas Razorbacks
WR Armstrong, Andrew
WR Broden, Tyrone
WR TeSlaa, Isaac
TE Bax, Nathan
QB Jefferson, KJ
RB Sanders, Raheim
Statistical Leaders
Missouri Tigers
Passing: B. Cook (3062)
Rushing: C. Schrader (1272)
Receiving: L. Burden III (1135)
Touchdowns: C. Schrader (12)
Arkansas Razorbacks
Passing: K. Jefferson (2105)
Rushing: K. Jefferson (432)
Receiving: A. Armstrong (724)
Touchdowns: A. Armstrong (4)
Coaches:
Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (4th season)
Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (4th season)