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Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/29/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 28, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 29, 2023
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch:  BSIN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -11, Pacers +11; Over/Under:  236.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -11, Pacers +11; Over/Under:  236.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -11, Pacers +11; Over/Under:  236.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  54-21 (1st place, Central Division)
Indiana Pacers:  33-43 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10
Indiana Pacers:  4-6 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are coming into this game with a 54-21 record overall and they are 24-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Khris Middleton led the team in points in that game with 34 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 24 points. Grayson Allen led the team in assists in that game with 7 while  Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez each led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 47.4% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 41-29-5 this season and their O/U record is 37-38.



The Pacers are coming into this game with a 33-43 record overall and they are 19-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics, the Atlanta Hawks, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Bennedict Mathurin led the team in points in that game with 26 while Andrew Nembhard was next on the team with 17 points. T. J. McConnell led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Isaiah Jackson led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 41.9% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.7 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 39-37 this season and their O/U record is 38-37-1.


Bucks vs Pacers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as an 11 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have a 54-21 record overall this season making them the best team in the East and in the entire NBA at the moment. They have been on fire lately too and have been a really good road team all year with their 24-14 road record. The Pacers have not been having a good season though with a losing 33-43 record overall. They have been a better home team this season with their 19-18 home record but they have been struggling lately with 3 losses in a row now and they are also dealing with a lot of injuries to some of their stars. The Bucks have been on a roll lately but they are still trying to lock down the number 1 seed in the East with the Celtics close behind them. The Bucks will continue to roll here against the Pacers who have been struggling a lot in their games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 29, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 124 Pacers 102.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 4-10 ATS as a road underdog. 10-25 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 23-13 UNDER in road games.
Indiana Pacers: 11-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more 3 straight games. 10-3 ATS after scoring 105 points or less. 18-4 UNDER after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  M. Leonard (PF) Out indefinitely - Calf. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Wed - Knee. J. Holiday (PG) Ques Wed - Personal.
Indiana Pacers:  C. Duarte (SG) Ques Wed - Ankle. M. Turner (C) Ques Wed - Back. T. Haliburton (PG) Ques Wed - Ankle. B. Hield (SG) Ques Wed - Illness. K. Brown (SG) out for season - Shin.


Notable Quotes


“Khris has looked really good since he came back from the injury. He's obviously going to be shooting it, but he's doing a lot of good things defensively right now.” - Mike Budenholzer on Khris Middleton after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Monday.


“It's tough. Luka makes a couple of passes that were unbelievable, that only one player in the world can make.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Grayson Allen
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard 
SF Buddy Hield
PF Aaron Nesmith
C Myles Turner

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.1)
APG: J. Holiday (7.3)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.7)

Indiana Pacers
PPG: T. Haliburton (20.7)
APG: T. Haliburton (10.4)
Reb/G: M. Turner (7.5)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Mike Budenholzer (5th season)
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (2nd season)