Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, May 3, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Clippers +7.5, Mavericks -7.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Clippers +7.5, Mavericks -7.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Clippers +7.5, Mavericks -7.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

Los Angeles Clippers:  51-31 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Los Angeles Clippers:  4-6 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

The Clippers are entering this game with a 51-31 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Paul George and Ivica Zubac each led the team in points in that game with 15 while Norman Powell was next on the team with 14 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Paul George led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 37.9% from the field, 25.7% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.3 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 40-47 this season and their O/U record is 38-47-2.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Maxi Kleber was next on the team with 15 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Luka Dončić and Dereck Lively II each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 54% from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 51-36 this season and their O/U record is 38-48-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Clippers and the 5th seeded Mavericks for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Mavericks have a 3-2 series lead after winning game 5 of this series on the road. This series has gone back and forth but the Mavericks finally gained an edge in game 5 with a road win and now have a chance to close out this series on their home court. The Clippers haven't been terrible in this series but they have been without one of their best players, Kawhi Leonard, and that is starting to affect the depth of their team. They won game 4 on the road in Dallas but blew a huge lead after going up by over 30 points and they were fortunate to even come out of that game with a win. They ended up getting blown out in their last game at home though and the games in this series haven't really been close either with 3 of the 5 games played being decided by double digit wins. The Clippers will be looking to respond here after that terrible loss at home but they didn't look great in their 2 games in Dallas and the Mavericks have the momentum on their side here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Clippers Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 3, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 104 Clippers 92.

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Los Angeles Clippers: 8-15 ATS as an underdog. 6-12 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 17-5 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 11-2 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent. 11-6 UNDER after a loss by 10 points or more. 30-15 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Dallas Mavericks: 36-21 ATS as a favorite. 8-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 9-2 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 24-17 UNDER in home games. 15-5 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 8-2 UNDER off a road blowout win by 20 points or more. 5-1 UNDER after allowing 95 points or less.

Los Angeles Clippers:  K. Leonard (SF) Out Indefinitely - Knee.

Dallas Mavericks:  O. Prosper (PF) Ques Fri - Ankle. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“I think it was just the carryover from Game 4, talking about it, watching it. Being able to play with pace on offense, but just doing a good job of taking the 3 out of the game.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in game 5 of this series on Wednesday.

“We just didn’t play well all around. Defensively, offensively, we just didn’t play a good game. That’s OK. Turn the page." - Tyronn Lue after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in game 5 of this series on Wednesday.

PG James Harden

SG Terance Mann

SF Paul George

PF Kawhi Leonard

C Ivica Zubac

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: K. Leonard (23.7)

APG: J. Harden (8.5)

Reb/G: I. Zubac (9.2)

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Coaches:

Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (4th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)