Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/30/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pacers -3.5, Bucks +3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pacers -3.5, Bucks +3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pacers -3.5, Bucks +3.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  49-33 (1st place, Central Division)

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Indiana Pacers:  7-3 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  3-7 last 10

The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 21-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Milwaukee Bucks in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Bucks in game 4 of this series, Myles Turner led the team in points in that game with 29 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 24 points. Andrew Nembhard led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Pascal Siakam and Myles Turner each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.7% from the field, 51.2% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 46-38-3 this season and their O/U record is 45-40-2.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 31-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Indiana Pacers in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Pacers in game 4 of this series, Brook Lopez led the team in points in that game with 27 while Khris Middleton was next on the team with 25 points. Andre Jackson Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Khris Middleton led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51.1% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 37-48-1 this season and their O/U record is 43-42-1.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Bucks and the 6th seeded Pacers for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. The Pacers have a 3-1 series lead after winning game 4 of this series on their home court. The Pacers got smacked by the Bucks in the 1st game of this series, but it has been all Pacers since then with 3 wins in a row now. The Pacers are now going back to Milwaukee with a chance to eliminate the Bucks, but it hasn't really been a good ride for the Bucks lately. They have struggled at times under Doc Rivers this season, being a very streaky team, and they ended the season on one of those cold streaks too. They have looked terrible lately with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games while the Pacers are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side right now. The Pacers haven't looked great in their road games this season, but they do have the advantage here with Giannis still being out for the Bucks, and Lillard also missed the last game too so he will be playing through an injury if he goes in this game. The Pacers have been a team all season that the Bucks have struggled to beat and they lost a lot of those games with both Giannis and Lillard playing in them. Without their 2 best players playing or even with a banged up Lillard if he plays, the Bucks have no chance at staying alive in this series against this team that has given them trouble all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Pacers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 30, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Pacers 118 Bucks 107.

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Indiana Pacers: 11-21 ATS as a road favorite. 17-28 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 4-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 11-3 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 15-7 OVER off a win against a division rival. 

Milwaukee Bucks: 4-0 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 8-4 ATS after 3 consecutive division games. 4-1 ATS off 3 consecutive losses against division rivals. 13-6 OVER off a loss against a division rival. 6-3 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. 14-6 OVER after a division game.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Bucks:  C. Livingston (SF) Ques Tues - Illness. D. Lillard (PG) Ques Tues - Achilles. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Early May - Calf. J. Galloway (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“After that first game, we watched a lot of film and I saw some of the holes in the defense and realized there were open shots we could exploit. A lot of it is read and react, which is pretty much what our whole offense is.” - Myles Turner after their win against the Bucks in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

“We knew coming into the game we were going to have to trap more and do things we don't traditionally do. I thought we hung in there, I really did.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PG Damian Lillard

SG Patrick Beverley

SF Khris Middleton

PF Jae Crowder

C Brook Lopez

PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)

APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.5)

Coaches:

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)