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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 02, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, May 3, 2024
Venue:  Kia Center, Orlando, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +4, Magic -4; Over/Under:  200 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +3.5, Magic -3.5; Over/Under:  200.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cavaliers +3.5, Magic -3.5; Over/Under:  200.5 points

Season Record

Cleveland Cavaliers:  48-34 (2nd place, Central Division)
Orlando Magic:  47-35 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10
Orlando Magic:  4-6 last 10


Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic Preview and Analysis


The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 48-34 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 22-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Orlando Magic in their last game. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 28 while Darius Garland was next on the team with 23 points. Darius Garland and Max Strus each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 43.2% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 40-45-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-44-1.



The Magic are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 29-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Paolo Banchero led the team in points in that game with 39 while Franz Wagner was next on the team with 14 points. Franz Wagner led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Wendell Carter Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.2% from the field, 29% from 3-point range, and 75.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.5 PPG against them. The Magic have an ATS record of 54-33 this season and their O/U record is 39-47-1.


Cavaliers vs Magic Prediction

The current betting odds have the Magic listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Cavaliers and the 5th seeded Magic for Round 1 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. The Cavaliers have a 3-2 series lead after winning game 5 of this series on their home court. This series has been a very home dominated series with the home team winning all 5 games and the home team covering the spread in 4 of those. That streak was broken in the last game with the Cavaliers winning game 5 but not covering the spread in the game. Now the Cavaliers are going back on the road where they haven't looked as good this season with their 22-19 road record, and they also looked terrible in the 2 road games of this series. Meanwhile, the Magic have looked great on their home court all year with their 29-12 home record and they have also been one of the best covering teams in the NBA this year. The Magic only lost game 5 by 1 point as they came really close to beating the Cavs on the road, but now they are still facing elimination here losing that game and they are going to throw everything they have at the Cavaliers in this game. The Magic looked great in their 2 home games in this series and they have been doing it at home all season, they will have some momentum after coming so close to a road win in the last game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Magic to cover the spread in this game. 

Cavaliers Magic Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 3, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Magic 102 Cavaliers 89.
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NBA Betting Trends


Cleveland Cavaliers: 16-27 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 3-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 4-8 ATS in all playoff games. 10-2 UNDER in all playoff games. 27-17 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 24-17 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.

Orlando Magic: 21-7 ATS as a home favorite. 17-7 ATS against Central division opponents. 11-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 26-16 UNDER in home games. 16-8 UNDER against Central division opponents. 8-1 UNDER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less.

Key Injuries


Cleveland Cavaliers:  C. Porter Jr. (PG) Ques Fri - Ankle. J. Allen (C) Ques Fri - Ribs. D. Wade (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Orlando Magic:  G. Harris (SG) Ques Fri - Hamstring.


Notable Quotes


“We got to do it again on the road. We did our job. This doesn’t prove anything. We haven’t proven anything. We haven’t done anything. We got to go down there and handle business.” - Donovan Mitchell after their win against the Magic in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.


“I just got lost in the game and really wanted to win because I knew how big it would have been. I just wanted to be aggressive, and I think I got a little fatigued at the end.” - Paolo Banchero after their loss against the Cavs in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell
SF Max Strus
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Orlando Magic
PG Jalen Suggs
SG Gary Harris
SF Franz Wagner
PF Paolo Banchero
C Wendell Carter Jr.

Statistical Leaders


Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (26.6)
APG: D. Garland (6.5)
Reb/G: J. Allen (10.5)

Orlando Magic
PPG: P. Banchero (22.6)
APG: P. Banchero (5.4)
Reb/G: P. Banchero (6.9)

Coaches:
Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)
Orlando Magic: Jamahl Mosley (3rd season)