Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/04/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 4, 2023

Venue:  Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA

Where to Watch:  ESPNU

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -12.5, LSU +12.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -12.5, LSU +12.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -12.5, LSU +12.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  19-3 (9-0) (1st place, SEC)

LSU Tigers:  12-10 (1-8) (12th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

LSU Tigers:  0-5  last 5

Alabama is coming into this game with a 19-3 record overall and they are 6-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 9-0 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a win against the Vanderbilt Commodores in their last game. Brandon Miller led the team in points in that game with 22 while Nimari Burnett was next on the team with 16 points. Mark Sears led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Brandon Miller led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 59% from the field, 46.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.7 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 13-8-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-11-1.

LSU is coming into this game with a 12-10 record overall and they are 9-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 1-8 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 9 game losing streak with losses coming against the Kentucky Wildcats, the Texas A&M Aggies, the Florida Gators, the Alabama Crimson Tide, the Auburn Tigers, the Tennessee Volunteers, the Arkansas Razorbacks, the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and the Missouri Tigers in their last game. KJ Williams led the team in points in that game with 15 while Justice Hill was next on the team with 13 points. Trae Hannibal led the team in assists in that game with 5 while KJ Williams and Derek Fountain each led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 40.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 67 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 PPG against them. LSU has an ATS record of 6-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-12-1.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama enters this game as a ranked team and they are one of the best teams in the country with their 19-3 record overall. They have been great in their road games this year with a 6-1 road record and they have been unbeatable in the SEC with their perfect 9-0 conference record. They were upset against Oklahoma a few nights ago but bounced back with a huge win over Vanderbilt in their last game and they are going to be looking to keep that momentum going here. LSU has been terrible this year as they struggle to even stay above .500 with their 12-10 record overall. They are 9-4 in their home games which isn't that bad but they have been terrible since hitting conference play as they are 1-8 against SEC opponents this season and they have lost 9 games in a row entering this one. LSU is one of the worst teams in the SEC while Alabama is one of the best teams in the country that just lost in the last week and is looking to prove a point with some big conference wins. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game.

Alabama LSU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 4, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 92 LSU 66.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 14-8 ATS in all games. 8-1 ATS against conference opponents. 21-14 OVER after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite.

LSU Tigers: 6-15 ATS in all games. 2-11 ATS in all home games. 10-3 OVER after 9 or more consecutive losses.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  None.

LSU Tigers:  M. Wilkinson (F) out for season - Shoulder. C. Williams (F) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“They answered the bell after the Oklahoma game. I thought it was a great way to respond. I respect Vanderbilt a lot, so it was kind of unfortunate for them that they were the team that followed up the Oklahoma game. But I told our guys, we’ve kind of shown who we are, and I think we’re a tough, hard-nosed, blue-collar, gritty team. Vanderbilt’s tough. We showed a little highlight film of Vanderbilt’s tough play before the game. This isn’t a game where if we’re gonna try to be the tougher team – we kind of told our guys that nationally we’ve been questioned as soft. Any team with a decent big has been able to go to work on us a little bit.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against Vanderbilt in their last game.

“The way they (Missouri) play with their pressure and their switching and denial defense makes it difficult just to come down and run sets and execute in the half court. So, what ends up happening is you have to go by that pressure and make plays. I thought we were able to do that with success at times. You see the balance in the scoring, I thought we were able to get good looks throughout the game. Unfortunately, when you go on the road and give up 87, you are going to have to be a lot more efficient there on some of those opportunities we had on the offensive end.” - Matt McMahon after his team’s loss against Mizzou in their last game.

C. Bediako 

J. Bradley 

N. Clowney 

B. Miller 

M. Sears

J. Hill 

A. Miller 

J. Reed 

M. Wilkinson 

K. Williams

PPG: B. Miller (19.2)

APG: J. Bradley (3.4)

Reb/G: N. Clowney (8.4)

PPG: K. Williams (17.1)

APG: J. Hill (3.4)

Reb/G: K. Williams (7.5)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (4th season)

LSU Tigers: Matt McMahon (1st season)