Team Del Genio - New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

TDG’s NFL DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH

Handicapper
Team Del Genio
League
NFL
Competition
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Time
12/05/2022 08:15 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 41 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Our 25* NFC South Total of the Month is with the New Orleans/Tampa Bay under at 8:15 pm et. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers fell to 5-6 this season after a 23-17 loss at Cleveland as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. Even worse news came after the game with the announcement that a lower-leg injury to right tackle Tristan Wirfs will keep him off the field for the foreseeable future. The Buccaneers' offensive line is a shell of what it was when they won the Super Bowl less than two years ago. Center Ryan Jensen and left guard Aaron Stinnoie suffered season-ending injuries in August after All-Pro left guard surprised the team by retiring in the offseason. Tampa Bay has not scored more than 22 points in seven straight games. They have played five of their last six games under the number after a loss by six points or less. The oddsmakers installed the over/under at 42.5 for the Browns game, and the Buccaneers have played six of their last eight games under the number after playing an under in their last game. Tampa Bay’s defense remains stout. They have not allowed more than 23 points in six of their last seven games. The Buccaneers have played nine of their last eleven games under the number when the oddsmakers install them as a point-spread favorite. They have played seven straight unders against NFC rivals, and they have played six of their last seven games under the total after the first month of the season. In their last eight games when the oddsmakers install Tampa Bay as an underdog of up to three points or as a favorite of up to three points, the Buccaneers have played six of these games under the number. New Orleans has not reached 14 points in three of their last four games after getting shutout, 13-0, in San Francisco last Sunday. The Saints have played six of their last nine games under the number after playing a game where they did not score more than 14 points. They have played seven of their last nine games under the total after a loss by 10 or more points. They have won twice in their last seven games, and they have played nine of their last eleven games under the number after losing four or five of their last six games. They have played sixteen of their last twenty-two games under the number after playing a game that finished under the total. The Saints' defense continues to keep them competitive. They have held four of their last five opponents to under 21 points. They have played ten of their thirteen games under the number after holding their previous opponent to 14 or fewer points. Finally, New Orleans has played five of their last eight games under the number when the oddsmakers install them as a point spread underdog getting up to three points or as a favorite of up to three points. Play the under. Good luck - Team Del Genio.

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