OSKEIM'S NCAA HOOPS HIGH ROLLER (73.5% RUN!)
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Kennesaw St vs Charleston Sou
- Time
- 12/05/2022 07:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Charleston Sou +5 (-110)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- My math model only favors Kennesaw State by 2.44 points in this game and the Owls tend to play at the level of their opposition. Indeed, Kennesaw State is just 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games versus .399 or worse opposition and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus teams with a losing record. Under fourth-year head coach Amir Abdur-Rahim, Kennesaw State is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 units) versus teams that are being outscored by 4 or more points per game and 11-21 ATS (-12.1 units) off an against-the-spread win.
In contrast, Charleston Southern plays its best against elite competition, posting a perfect 5-0 ATS mark versus .601 or greater foes (5-1 ATS L/6 vs. .501 or greater foes). Kennesaw State arrives off a 66-63 upset win over Mercer as a three-point underdog, which is significant in that the Owls have failed to cover the spread in 8 of their past 11 games off a win.
Charleston Southern redshirt sophomore Emorie Knox returned to the court for the first time in 2022-23 against South Florida last Friday and joins leading scorer Claudell Harris Jr. (17.6 ppg) in the backcourt. Former Iona player Tahlik Chavez led the team in scoring and the Big South in three-pointers last year and is currently averaging 8.4 points per game for the Owls this season. Head coach Barclay Radebaugh used the transfer portal to improve the Owls’ overall depth and experience. Transfers Tres Berry (Rhode Island) and RJ Johnson (Appalachian State) have both made immediate impacts in Charleston.
Charleston Southern’s frontcourt is led by last year’s Big South Conference All-Freshman team choice Taje’ Kelly, who is averaging 11.0 points (51.6% FG) and 7.1 rebounds per game this season. Redshirt senior Cheeikh Faye started 23 games and provides leadership in the frontcourt. Grab the points with Charleston Southern and invest with confidence.
