Matt Fargo - Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Fargo's NBA Eastern Conf. Game of the Month

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NBA
Competition
Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat
Time
11/23/2022 07:40 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Miami Heat -1.5 (-110) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT with our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Miami was able to get back to .500 following three straight home wins but it hit the road for a four-game roadtrip and lost all four of those games that included an overtime loss at Washington by a point so now back home, the Heat will get back on track with some motivation to boot. That trek dropped Miami to 1-7 on the road but they are a decent 6-4 at home that includes wins in five of their last six games. The absence of Jimmy Butler is obviously a big one as the injury list is a big one but the spot is too good and too important with four more road games on deck against three likely playoff teams in Atlanta, Boston (twice) and Memphis. While the offense has been inconsistent, the defense remains strong as Miami is No. 9 in scoring and No. 12 in defensive efficiency. Washington comes in on a two-game winning streak and has won six of its last seven games to move three games over .500 and are tied with Atlanta for first place in the Southeast Division. The Wizards are 7-4 at home and just 3-3 on the road and have injuries issues of their own with Bradley Beal questionable as well as point guard Monte Morris. Washington also brings in a strong defense but the offense has been one of the worst in the league as the Wizards are ranked No. 24 in offensive efficiency as well as No. 24 in floor percentage. The Wizards are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites after four or more consecutive unders, averaging between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 61-29 ATS (67.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (510) Miami Heat

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2022 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.