Amedeus Mastrangelo - Juventude vs Fluminense

AMEDEUS' BRASIL SERIE A SAUCY SET-PIECE!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Juventude vs Fluminense
Time
09/28/2022 06:00 PM
Bet Type
Goal Line
Pick
Fluminense -1.5 (+105) (Consensus Odds 3)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Fluminense is coming into this match playing in good form in their recent matches as they have won 2 of their last 3 matches. When playing at home in their domestic league, they have won 7 of their last 8 matches with no losses in that span and they have played much better at home all season. They have the 2nd best home record in Brasil this season as they are 9-2-3 there and they are averaging 2 goals scored per match while averaging less than 1 goal allowed per match in those. They are also currently sitting in 3rd place in the league overall but it is a very tight race as there are 3 teams just 4 points behind so they need to keep winning these matches if they want to keep their top 4 spot. They are going up against a Juventude side that has been in awful form in their recent matches and is currently sitting in last place in the league. They have not won a match in their last 8 straight, collecting 5 losses in that span. When playing away from home, they have lost their last 5 straight and 7 of their last 9 matches with no wins in that span. Their attack has also been awful in those matches as they have been struggling to score goals away from home, scoring just 1 goal in their last 5 away matches. Juventude is one of the worst teams in Brasil this year, they are in last place right now but they are going to get relegated for sure this season with how bad they have been. Even in their away matches alone they have been averaging over 2 goals allowed per match while scoring less than 1 goal per match as well. Fluminense has a lot more talent on their team and they play very well at home, looking to get a top 4 spot for Copa Libertadores next season as well. Fluminense will win this match by 2 or more goals here at home.

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