TOM'S 39-13 MLB ULTIMATE RUN-LINE WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
- Time
- 09/28/2022 07:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Run Line
- Pick
-
New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #906 NY METS RUN-LINE with Walker (-) over Miami with Luzardo at 7:10 PM EST
Off last night's home loss to the Marlins and with three huge games in Atlanta against the Braves on deck, the Mets will be sure to take care of business in this important division battle. New York is currently tied with Hotlanta for the top spot in the NL East and they need this victory badly in order to stay locked up or a game above in the standings.
Toeing the rubber for the home team will be right-hander Taijuan Walker. So far this season, No. 99 has made 27 starts for the Mets and been tapped for only 58 earned runs and 133 hits in 148.0 innings. Walker struck out 114 and walked 43 on his way to a solid 12-5 mark with a 3.53 ERA. Taijuan has pitched well inside the friendly confines of Citi Field too. In his own backyard, Walker was nicked for only 24 earned runs and 53 hits in 61.2 frames. That equates to a 5-1 tally with a 3.50 ERA.
Up on the bump for the visitors will be left-hander Jesus Luzardo. With 16 starts to his credit this year, No. 44 was zapped for 35 earned runs and 61 hits in 88.1 innings. Luzardo whiffed 102 and walked 32 on his way to a 3-7 record with a 3.57 ERA. Jesus has experienced a few problems in this series too. In his last three starts against the Boys from the Big Apple, Luzardo has been slammed for 10 earned runs and 12 hits in 14.0 frames. That's bad enough for a 1-1 mark with a lofty 6.43 ERA.
Plenty of powerful team trends back this Best Bet. New York has won 41 of its last 56 when coming off a loss, 37 of its last 51 when facing a foe that scored five runs or more last, 39 of its last 58 at home facing an opponent that owns a team won/loss percentage less than .500, and 36 of its last 52 after allowing five runs or more last. On the other side of the field, Miami has fallen in 19 of its last 26 when coming off a win, 39 of its last 52 fighting a foe that owns a winning record, and 14 of its last 17 when battling an opponent that allowed five runs or more last.
With that critical three-game series in Atlanta against the Braves on deck, how the Mets do here could determine whether or not they win the division. Take the New York Mets on the run-line with Walker. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
