TDG’s MLB WEDNESDAY VEGAS O/U *JACKPOT*
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox
- Time
- 08/10/2022 07:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Over 9 (-115)
(Consensus 3)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 20* MLB Wednesday Vegas O/U Jackpot is with the Atlanta/Boston over at 7:10 pm et.
The Atlanta Braves ended a three-game losing streak last night in an eleven-inning 9-7 victory in Fenway Park against the Red Sox. The Braves bats are heating up with 38 runs scored in their last six games. They have scored at least five runs in each of their last six games, and they have scored six or more runs five times. Atlanta has an 8-3-1 record to the over in their last twelve games after a win, and the over is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games after scoring five or more runs in their previous game. The Braves should continue to score runs against the Red Sox’s Nick Pivetta tonight. The right-hander allowed three runs in five innings of work in his previous start at Kansas City on Thursday. He has an 8-8 record for the season with a 4.51 era and a 1.33 whip yet remains mired in a terrible slump. Since the beginning of July, he has allowed 28 earned runs in 29 innings. In those six starts, he has an 8.69 era and a 2.03 whip. Boston has played five of those six Pivetta starts over the number. They have played six of their last seven games over the total when Pivetta is their starting pitcher on the mound with five or six days of rest. The Red Sox have played four straight overs after losing their previous game, and they have played four straight overs after giving up five or more runs in their previous game. The Boston bullpen was called on to pitch seven innings last night, and they have played nine of their last fourteen games after playing a game where their relievers pitched six or more innings.
Atlanta continues their eleven-game road trip with the sixth game away from home. They have an 18-6-2 record to the over in their last previous twenty-six games on the road. They have a 6-0-2 record to the over in their previous eight games on the road when playing a team using a right-handed starting pitcher. Kyle Wright gets the start after giving up six earned runs in six innings in his last start in New York against the Mets on Thursday. The right-hander has a 13-5 record with a 3.22 era and a 1.17 whip this season, yet there is cause for concern. With 128 2/3 innings under his belt this year, Wright’s workload begins to become an issue. He pitched only 143 1/3 innings last year with all but 6 1/3 of those frames being in the minor leagues. The 144 innings he threw in 2018 from double-a to the majors is his highest workload at the professional level. In his previous three starts after the All-Star game, he has a 4.82 era. In his previous four starts on the road, he has a 4.85 era and a 1.31 whip. The Braves have played eight of their last ten games over the number when playing against an American League opponent. They have a 6-2-1 record to the over in their previous nine games when the oddsmakers install the over/under from 9 to 10.5. Play the over.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
