Larry Ness - Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Larry's Las Vegas Insider (18-6 s/June 21)

Handicapper
Larry Ness
League
MLB
Competition
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Time
08/10/2022 07:05 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Miami Marlins +112 (Caesars)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Mia Marlins at 7:05 ET. The Marlins overcame all sorts of team COVID issues to end a 16-year postseason drought in 2020 but the 2021 team finished 67-95. Miami was actually 43-45 through July 14 (sniffing a wild card spot) but has gone just 6-15 since, to fall to 49-60 (now 11 games back of the final wild card spot). The Philadelphia Phillies opened the season having failed to make the playoffs in each of the last 10 years, the second-longest streak in MLB. The Phillies fired Joe Giradi in early June and interim manager Rob Thompson has led them to a 39-19 record since taking over. The Phillies own a current SIX-game winning streak (have won 11 of 12) as they host the Marlins in the middle contest of this three-game series. The 61-48 Phillies own the No. 2 wild card spot (three behind Atlanta) and one game up on San Diego (Milwaukee is just two games behind Philly in the 4th spot). Sandy Alcantara (10-4, 1.88 ERA) will get the nod for Miami, while Noah Syndergaard (6-8, 4.02 ERA) will get his second start since being acquired from the Los Angeles Angels. Alcantara threw his third complete game of the season in his previous start against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up just six hits in a 3-0 win. Alcantara is having a special season. He allowed just three ERs in a six-start stretch (May 11 through June 8). It was the first time a pitcher had allowed three ERs or less over a six-start stretch spanning at least 48 innings since Jake Arrieta did so for the Chicago Cubs during his NL Cy Young Award-winning season in 2015. In 10 of his 22 starts this season, he's pitched at least EIGHT innings (no other pitcher is close to matching that!) Syndergaard has returned in 2022 from the Tommy John surgery that cost him most of two seasons. he was 4-2 with 3.08 ERA through his first seven starts for LA (Angels were 4-3) but then went 1-6 with a 4.50 ERA over his next eight starts (team was 1-7). Syndergaard allowed four ERs in five innings of his first start with Philly, getting the "W' in a 5-4 Philadelphia victory (final came in 5 innings). However, let's point out that the win came over Washington, which owns MLB's worst record! Sure, Philly's the better team and OBVIOUSLY the 'hotter' team but Alcantara is a "difference-maker" Before the All-Star break, Alcantara lasted at least seven innings in 13 straight starts. After the break, he lasted just 11 innings combined in his first two starts before refocusing.in his last start a week ago (see above). I'm taking the price. Good luck...Larry

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