Nelly's Sports - San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Nelly’s Friday MLB Totals Triple 3-Pack

Handicapper
Nelly's Sports
League
MLB
Competition
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Time
08/05/2022 10:10 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8.5 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
The Padres have played five games already in August and while the bullpen has good numbers, the usage may start to take a toll this weekend. A short starting effort yesterday puts Sean Manaea in a big spot and in his first season with San Diego he has provided rather average results with a 4.25 ERA. Walks have been a problem with a 3.4 BB/9 while Manaea has allowed 18 home runs this season. He was hammered for seven runs in his only start vs. the Dodgers this season and Los Angeles is on a historic pace in recent weeks. The offensive numbers for both teams have been near the top of MLB since the All-Star break with two-week splits featuring a .789 team OPS for the Padres while the Dodgers have an .805 team OPS in that span. Manaea has just a 24.9 percent CSW% in the past month and his ERA is 5.49 over his last eight starts, with a 2.20 HR/9. Tony Gonsolin has been pure fool’s gold for the Dodgers as his 12-1 record is built with the lowest BABIP and the highest strand rate of all qualified NL starters. His past three starts have been his worst three starts of the season as it is all catching up to Gonsolin whose career 2022 season features a 3.78 xFIP next to his 2.41 ERA. Coming off a huge four-game sweep in San Francisco could leave the Dodgers a bit fatigued coming off an eight-game road trip without an off day. There is good reason that this will be the highest total of the season between these teams. Thank you for playing with Nelly’s and Best of Luck.

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