Matt Fargo - Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Fargo's N.L. Underdog Game of the Month

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
MLB
Competition
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Time
08/05/2022 07:05 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Washington Nationals +175 (DraftKings)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our N.L. Underdog Game of the Month. Washington caught a bit of a bad break last night as it tried to rally from a 5-1 deficit, eventually pulling to within 5-4 before the game was called after 4.5 innings for a Phillies win. The Nationals fell to 19-31 on the road but are down less than one unit of profit as the moneylines continue to be on their side, especially tonight. Washington has 11 hits in the five innings as it continues to hit well on the road and it now has a .257 average away from home which is the fifth highest in baseball. Josiah Gray is coming off a pair of below average outings since the break and he is back on the road where he has posted a 2.45 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in nine road starts. The Nationals are 6-1 against the money line in his last seven starts as a road underdog of +150 or more. The Phillies are now tied with St. Louis and/or Milwaukee, which are knotted in the National League Central, for the final Wild Card spot but they have not been great at home. They are two games over .500 here and while Noah Syndergaard deserved a 2-1 favorite price last night, Kyle Gibson does not. Since the end of June, he has a 6.00 ERA over six starts and he has had no real advantage at home where he has a 4.50 ERA in 11 outings. Here, we play against favorites with a money line of -110 or higher starting a pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest and with a bullpen that has thrown three innings or less over last two games. This situation is 28-12 (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (903) Washington Nationals

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