Sean Murphy - Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces

7-0? WNBA MONDAY NIGHT TOTAL DOMINATOR!

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
WNBA
Competition
Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces
Time
05/23/2022 10:00 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces Under 170 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Las Vegas at 10 pm et on Monday. Both of these teams have seen the 'over' cash in consecutive games but I look for a different story to unfold on Monday night in Sin City. The pace hasn't necessarily been there in the Sparks last two contests, with both teams getting off fewer than 70 field goal attempts on both occasions. The Sparks, however, shot the lights out in both games, knocking down 32 field goals in each. Here, I expect Los Angeles to face some resistance, noting that the Sparks - while known for their offensive prowess - have done a nice job defensively, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals and all four of those opponents to 70 or fewer field goal attempts. We've cashed some 'over' tickets in games involving the Sparks this season, noting that we expected them to struggle defensively out of the gate. Lately, we have seen them do a better job though, as they've limited four straight opponents to 70 or fewer FG attempts after allowing Indiana to get off 78 back in their second game of the season. While Las Vegas averages 91.7 points per game this season, it's worth noting that number drops to 83.9 points after scoring 90+ points in consecutive games over the last two seasons (23-game sample size), as is the case here. Also note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Sparks coming off four consecutive losses over the last two seasons with that situation producing an average total of just 135.7 points. Take the under (8*).

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