10* MLB N.L. UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
- Time
- 05/23/2022 09:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Milwaukee Brewers +100
(Caesars)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- N.L. Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee over San Diego at 9:40 pm et on Monday.
I think the case can be made for the Brewers being the better team in this matchup, with the better starting pitcher on the mound, yet we're getting an underdog price as the Padres roll in off four consecutive victories capped off by a three-game sweep against the division rival Giants in San Francisco. We actually cashed a free play on the underdog Nationals in their win over the Brewers yesterday as Milwaukee looked like it had one foot already on the plane having easily won the first two games in that series against Washington. Here, we'll note that the Brewers are 12-9 on the road this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game. By contrast, the Padres are 10-7 at home, but have managed to score only 3.4 runs per contest. Brewers starter Adrian Houser has inexplicably struggled in two starts against the lowly Reds this season but has excelled against everyone else. He was a hard-luck loser against the Braves last time out, allowing just one unearned run over six innings in a 3-0 Brewers loss. Houser faced the Padres twice last season, allowing only two earned runs in 9 2/3 innings including a 4-2 Brewers victory here in San Diego. Nick Martinez gets another turn in the rotation for the Padres, out of necessity only. He's struggled to the tune of a 4.40 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this season with those numbers rising to 5.22 and 1.50 in four home outings. The Brewers will be getting their first look at him here but so were the Cubs in his most recent start and they reached him for five earned runs in just four innings. Take Milwaukee (10*).
