Matt Fargo - Colorado Avalanche vs St. Louis Blues

Fargo's 10* NHL Monday Breakaway (13-7 Run)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NHL
Competition
Colorado Avalanche vs St. Louis Blues
Time
05/23/2022 09:50 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
St. Louis Blues +145 (Caesars)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Monday Breakaway. Colorado regained control of the series and is 27-14-3-0 on the road which is very solid but its numbers drop significantly on road ice as the scoring is down by close to a goal per game while the defense allows close to the same more on the road than at home. Colorado can score in bunches as we saw in Game Three and the St. Louis defense has to counter that in order to stay in this series as going back to Colorado down 3-1 will be nearly impossible to overcome. The Avalanche are 8-18 in their last 26 Conference Semifinals games. St. Louis got exactly what it wanted as it gained home ice with the two-game split in Colorado but did give it back in Game Three. The Blues are dangerous at home as they are 28-12-4-1 that includes a pair of wins over a tough Minnesota team as they clinched the series with three straight wins to close out. St. Louis has a significant +1.0 gpg scoring differential at home and special teams has led the way as evidenced in the first three games of this series. They lost goalie Jordan Binnington early in Game Three and that was a big loss. He is out for the series and while that is a concern, Ville Husso was great this season with a 2.56 GAA and being thrown into the fire was a tough spot but will be better off knowing he is the starter. Here, we play against road teams against the money line in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. this situation is 176-115 (60.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (54) St. Louis Blues

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