Al McMordie - Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

BIG AL's NBA CELTICS/HEAT GAME 4 WINNER!

Handicapper
Al McMordie
League
NBA
Competition
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
Time
05/23/2022 08:40 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Boston Celtics -7 (-110) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Miami Heat. We played on Miami in Game 3, but will take the home-standing Celtics in Game 4. With its 109-103 defeat, Boston has fallen behind in this series 2-games-to-1. But home teams that trail 2-games-to-1 in a Playoff series have covered 64.7% since 1990, if they lost Game 3, and weren't an underdog of 4+ points in Game 4. Moreover, the Celtics have gone 26-12-1 ATS in the Playoffs, if they trailed in a series, and failed to cover the previous game's spread by 6+ points. And Miami has covered just 7 of 24 games as a road underdog in the Playoffs, if it led in a series. Take Boston minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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