TDG’s NCAA-B FRIDAY NIGHT VEGAS O/U *JACKPOT*
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Fresno State vs Nevada
- Time
- 01/21/2022 11:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Fresno State vs Nevada Over 137.5 (-109)
(BetRivers)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 10* NCAA-B Friday Night Vegas O/U Jackpot is with the Fresno State/Nevada over at 11 pm et.
Fresno State is on a three-game winning streak after their 61-54 victory against Utah State on Tuesday. With only 115 combined points scoring in that game, it may be tempting for many bettors to take the under. Yet the Bulldogs have played twenty-eight of their last forty-two games under the number after playing a game where at least 115 combined points were scored. They have played nine of their last thirteen games under the total after holding their last opponent to 55 or fewer points. Fresno State is one of the best defensive teams in the nation. They only allow 56.6 points per game. Yet an offense that runs through seven-footer Orlando Robinson that is third in the Mountain West Conference in adjusted efficiency. They will score more points tonight against a Wolf Pack team that plays at the thirteenth fastest pace under head coach Steve Alford. The 72.2 average possessions per game for Nevada this season is the fifteenth most in the country. Fresno State has played eleven of their last fifteen games over the number against winning teams. They have played four of their last five games on the road over the number when the oddsmakers install them as an underdog of up to three points or as a favorite of up to three points.
Nevada lost their second game in their last three games with a 77-67 upset loss to Wyoming as a 2.5-point favorite on Monday. Alford should lead a strong effort tonight with the possibility to pull off an upset. The Wolf Pack have played eight of their last ten games over the number after a loss, and they have played four of their last five games over the total after an upset loss to a conference rival. They have played seven of their last eight games over the total after a double-digit loss at home. Nevada stays in Reno where they are averaging 77.5 points per game at their fast pace. Yet they are allowing 71.7 points per game with the average score in their eight home games being 149.2 combined points per game. The Wolf Pack have played thirty of their last forty-five home games over the total when the oddsmakers install the number in the 130 to 139.5 point range. They have played nineteen of their last twenty-six home games when favored by up to three points by the oddsmakers. Fresno State may hold their opponents to 40.6% shooting with their stout defense yet Nevada has played nine of their last thirteen games after fifteen games into the season over the total against opponents with a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or better. The Wolf Pack have played twelve of their last fifteen games after fifteen games into the season under the number against winning teams. Take the over.
Good luck — Team Del Genio.
