TDG’s 25* NBA DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks
- Time
- 01/21/2022 07:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Over 217 (-110)
(Caesars)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* NBA Southeast Division Total of the Month is with the Miami/Atlanta over at 7:40 pm et.
The Hawks were on a five-game losing streak, yet Trae Young has taken the team on his back in their last two games to reverse that slide. In Atlanta’s 121-114 upset win against Miami on Monday, Young scored 30 points and added 11 assists. Young followed that up with another 37 points and 14 assists on Wednesday in a 134-122 victory against Minnesota. The Hawks are averaging 114.4 points per game in their last five games. At 19-25, it has been a disappointing season for head coach Nate McMillan even when accounting for the injuries that have held this team back. The group is not playing at the same level of intensity on defense as they did last year when McMillan was able to come in as an interim coach to lead them into the playoffs. Atlanta is allowing 112.2 points per game with opponents making 46.8% of their shots. Even in their last five games, the Hawks are giving up 118.4 points per game. They have played six of their last nine games in January over the number. Atlanta has played four of their last five games over the total off a win. The Hawks stay at home for this Southeast division showdown where they have played four of their last five games over the number. They have played four of their last five games over the total against winning teams.
Miami has won six of their last seven games including their last two after a 104-92 win against Portland on Wednesday. The Heat have played three straight overs with their last two games not seeing more than 203 combined points scored. Yet Miami has played twenty-seven of their last forty games under the number after playing two unders in a row, and they have played eleven of their last fourteen games under the total after playing two straight games where no more than 205 combined points were scored. They go on the road where they have played five of their last six games over the number. They have played eleven of their last fourteen games over the total in games where the oddsmakers install them as an underdog of up to three points to a favorite of up to three points. Miami will be without Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, and KZ Opala tonight due to personal time, quarantine, and an injury (respectively) yet the last time these two teams there were 242 combined points scored in the Heat’s 124-118 victory. Expect another higher-scoring game with the Hawks’ formula being to play fast and outscore their opponents behind Young. Take the over.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
